***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 31.07.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 25.08.2014.-31.08.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    59    41     0   100   13.1   13.6   15.9   -0.6   37.3   40.2   13.4   14.2   15.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    58    42     0   100   12.7   13.4   16.1   -0.4   40.1   42.1   13.0   14.0   14.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00    61    39     0   100   14.8   15.3   15.9   -0.6   35.9   39.6   15.2   16.2   17.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    70    30     0   100    9.9   10.1   13.8   -1.0   26.5   33.1   10.5   11.6   12.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    63    37     0   100   11.6   11.7   13.7   -0.9   29.0   35.3   11.9   12.8   13.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    56    44     0   100   11.0   11.4   12.7   -0.5   37.6   41.9   11.2   11.9   12.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    57    43     0   100   13.0   13.7   16.2   -0.4   40.9   43.0   13.3   14.2   15.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    57    43     0   100    6.2    6.5   12.2   -0.6   34.3   39.8    6.4    7.3    8.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    64    36     0   100   12.8   13.1   13.9   -0.8   31.8   37.2   13.2   14.1   14.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    58    42     0   100   12.8   13.1   12.5   -0.7   33.7   39.4   13.1   13.9   14.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    57    43     0   100   12.4   12.6   13.5   -0.8   30.8   37.5   12.7   13.5   14.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    59    41     0   100   10.9   11.0   13.1   -0.8   31.0   37.3   11.1   11.9   12.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    65    35     0   100   11.9   12.1   12.7   -0.8   29.6   36.2   12.2   13.0   13.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    61    39     0   100   13.3   13.9   14.1   -0.5   37.2   41.5   13.6   14.5   15.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    70    30     0   100   13.9   14.0   14.5   -1.0   26.8   33.0   14.4   15.2   15.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    60    40     0   100   13.3   13.4   13.3   -0.8   29.4   36.3   13.6   14.4   15.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01    51    49     0   100   13.5   14.4   15.9   -0.1   46.6   46.9   13.7   14.5   15.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16    58    42     0   100   11.3   11.7   11.9   -0.5   35.9   41.1   11.6   12.3   13.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    58    42     0   100   13.1   13.7   16.0   -0.5   39.1   41.5   13.3   14.2   15.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    55    45     0   100    7.6    8.0   10.6   -0.5   37.1   41.6    7.8    8.5    9.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    65    35     0   100   12.5   12.8   15.0   -0.8   32.2   37.0   12.9   13.7   14.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    54    46     0   100   12.6   13.3   15.8   -0.2   44.5   45.1   12.7   13.5   14.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    60    40     0   100   12.5   13.0   15.7   -0.5   37.8   40.9   12.8   13.6   14.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    60    40     0   100   13.0   13.4   13.9   -0.5   36.1   40.8   13.3   14.1   14.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    59    41     0   100   12.8   13.1   14.3   -0.7   34.1   38.0   13.1   13.9   14.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    68    32     0   100   12.0   12.0   12.7   -1.0   25.7   31.9   12.4   13.1   13.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    57    43     0   100   12.6   13.3   15.2   -0.5   38.2   41.0   13.0   14.1   15.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    68    32     0   100   11.5   11.5   14.2   -1.1   25.8   32.5   11.9   12.8   13.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    59    41     0   100   10.2   10.7   11.5   -0.5   36.6   41.5   10.5   11.4   12.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    60    40     0   100   13.0   13.7   16.2   -0.5   38.2   40.9   13.4   14.4   15.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------