***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 23.07.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 27.07.2015.-23.08.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    66    34     0   100   17.5   32.2   19.8   74.5   48.5   36.1   20.1   33.7   50.9   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    65    35     0   100   22.9   38.3   23.3   76.0   48.8   39.6   26.1   39.3   55.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00    66    34     0   100   22.5   36.6   20.5   72.9   47.4   37.6   25.7   38.8   54.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    62    38     0   100   22.9   34.5   21.9   65.6   44.5   35.0   24.8   39.7   58.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    64    36     0   100   14.7   22.6   22.5   67.0   44.2   35.9   16.3   26.4   39.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    62    38     0   100   21.2   34.0   31.3   71.0   47.3   35.9   23.2   36.1   52.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    59    41     0   100   24.0   37.7   23.3   79.3   50.7   41.4   25.4   37.2   50.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    63    37     0   100   36.0   53.8   31.4   76.1   47.8   37.5   39.6   56.1   75.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    65    35     0   100   22.7   31.6   21.9   64.4   41.8   34.5   25.4   37.7   52.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    65    35     0   100   28.2   39.9   30.2   70.5   44.6   36.3   31.5   44.1   58.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    69    31     0   100   20.9   34.7   21.3   73.6   48.4   37.7   24.4   35.9   49.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    66    34     0   100   17.3   29.4   21.8   73.6   47.6   35.8   19.8   31.1   45.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    73    27     0   100   15.6   27.7   23.9   70.6   46.2   34.6   19.4   30.3   43.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    65    35     0   100   30.9   44.7   30.8   67.9   44.0   35.1   34.9   50.2   68.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    66    34     0   100   13.7   23.2   19.0   61.3   43.9   33.6   15.4   28.6   46.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    68    32     0   100   15.7   25.4   20.7   68.0   45.2   34.1   18.3   28.5   41.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01    59    41     0   100   28.0   39.9   22.7   75.1   49.0   39.5   29.9   40.6   52.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16    69    31     0   100   32.6   43.3   34.8   66.7   41.1   33.0   37.5   50.2   64.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    65    35     0   100   18.1   33.2   22.6   73.1   48.1   38.1   20.4   35.4   55.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    63    37     0   100   30.4   43.6   42.9   79.9   47.8   37.2   33.2   45.2   58.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    65    35     0   100   24.0   34.6   19.2   66.1   43.4   34.7   27.1   39.6   54.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    63    37     0   100   26.7   38.7   22.7   70.3   47.7   37.2   29.3   40.3   52.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    60    40     0   100   17.5   29.6   22.6   70.3   47.5   36.6   18.4   31.8   49.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    68    32     0   100   33.1   43.5   28.0   65.0   41.4   33.5   37.5   50.3   64.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    68    32     0   100   19.3   29.2   21.8   65.8   42.8   34.3   22.3   34.6   49.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    63    37     0   100   14.2   25.4   20.9   74.1   48.8   36.8   15.5   26.3   40.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    65    35     0   100   24.2   37.3   22.4   71.0   45.5   35.3   27.1   41.4   58.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    62    38     0   100   17.1   26.3   21.0   63.5   44.5   34.0   18.5   30.5   45.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    65    35     0   100   44.2   57.4   38.0   71.9   44.1   34.6   48.4   62.5   77.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    65    35     0   100   16.0   29.7   22.7   77.7   50.0   39.8   18.0   29.7   44.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------