***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 18.07.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 29.07.2013.-04.08.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    77    23   100 9999.0   17.3   19.2    0.2   53.2   53.0 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    79    21   100   16.4   16.1   19.2    0.1   51.3   51.2   15.2   16.1   16.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    77    23   100   18.6   18.5   19.3    0.3   56.3   55.3   17.4   18.2   19.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    76    24   100   14.2   13.3   17.1   -0.4   40.2   42.2   12.9   13.8   14.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    78    22   100   14.9   14.2   16.9   -0.3   43.8   45.4   13.7   14.5   15.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    52    48     0   100   12.7   13.0   15.0   -0.5   38.2   41.1   12.8   13.5   14.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    78    22   100   16.7   16.3   19.1   -0.1   48.5   49.1   15.6   16.4   17.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100    9.6    8.8   14.8   -0.5   38.9   41.5    8.5    9.3   10.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   16.1   15.8   17.4    0.0   49.9   50.3   15.1   15.8   16.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    77    23   100   16.0   15.4   15.6   -0.3   43.2   44.9   15.0   15.7   16.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100   15.6   15.2   16.4   -0.2   45.2   46.7   14.6   15.4   16.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    77    23   100   13.8   13.2   15.9   -0.3   43.5   45.2   12.8   13.5   14.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    78    22   100   14.9   14.3   15.5   -0.2   44.8   46.3   13.8   14.6   15.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    76    24   100   16.6   16.1   17.2   -0.2   45.0   46.4   15.6   16.3   17.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    53    47     0   100   16.1   16.8   18.0   -0.2   44.4   45.4   16.2   17.0   17.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100   16.3   15.7   16.1   -0.3   42.9   44.9   15.2   16.0   16.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100   17.1   16.8   18.8    0.0   50.2   50.4   16.1   16.8   17.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100   14.3   13.5   14.7   -0.4   39.5   42.0   13.2   13.9   14.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    79    21   100   16.4   16.3   19.3    0.2   54.4   53.6   15.4   16.1   16.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    61    39     0   100    9.0    9.3   12.8   -0.7   33.2   37.1    9.3   10.0   10.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    76    24   100   16.0   15.9   18.5    0.1   53.0   52.7   15.0   15.7   16.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100   16.0   15.9   18.9    0.2   53.4   52.8   14.9   15.7   16.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    78    22   100   15.9   15.9   19.1    0.3   55.9   54.7   14.9   15.6   16.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    77    23   100   16.4   16.1   17.0   -0.1   48.5   49.0   15.5   16.2   16.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100   16.1   15.8   17.6    0.0   50.0   50.2   15.0   15.8   16.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    52    48     0   100   13.7   14.2   15.4   -0.4   40.9   43.1   13.9   14.6   15.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    78    22   100   16.3   15.9   18.3    0.0   50.9   51.0   14.8   15.9   16.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    75    25   100   15.0   14.2   17.4   -0.4   39.5   41.7   13.9   14.6   15.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    55    45     0   100   12.4   12.7   14.0   -0.6   36.1   39.3   12.6   13.4   14.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    79    21   100   16.7   16.5   19.4    0.1   52.3   52.1   15.6   16.4   17.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------