***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 15.07.2021. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 19.07.2021.-25.07.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    32    68   100   17.0   19.2   15.7  137.2   74.9   68.6    2.9    6.8   13.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    31    69   100   10.4   12.8   13.9  153.8   78.1   68.9    2.5    5.0    8.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    26    74   100   15.2   22.1   19.7  186.3   83.0   76.2    3.2    6.8   11.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    33    67   100   16.3   20.5   17.2  155.0   78.2   71.2    4.1    8.0   13.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    15    85   100   16.7   22.6   19.0  185.4   82.8   78.2    2.7    6.2   11.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    30    70   100   14.3   19.5   19.1  166.7   80.4   73.5    2.9    6.3   11.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    36    64   100   13.1   14.4   12.0  129.7   73.3   63.8    2.8    6.0   11.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    19    81   100   18.9   25.5   23.0  179.4   82.6   78.4    3.9    8.0   14.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    17    83   100   14.2   16.8   18.2  160.7   79.2   76.3    2.3    5.3   10.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    17    83   100   21.4   28.6   24.5  180.3   82.4   78.8    4.0    8.5   15.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    24    76   100   14.0   19.1   18.0  175.9   81.7   75.7    2.9    6.2   10.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    26    74   100   13.0   17.9   16.5  172.5   81.3   75.4    2.4    5.4   10.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    33    67   100   11.4   14.8   14.4  153.0   78.1   72.8    1.8    4.6    9.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    16    84   100   25.6   40.6   29.8  216.8   86.9   81.1    5.3   10.7   18.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    41    59   100    9.6   12.6   13.3  149.8   77.4   64.3    2.3    4.8    8.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    34    66   100   10.0   12.8   15.3  155.1   78.4   72.1    2.4    4.9    8.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    30    70   100   16.4   18.1   12.1  137.8   74.9   64.3    3.8    7.6   13.3   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    19    81   100   16.0   21.2   27.8  178.7   82.7   77.7    3.9    7.4   12.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    27    73   100   15.2   21.1   17.1  178.9   82.1   73.3    3.4    7.0   12.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    10    90   100   15.4   21.3   28.6  188.9   84.5   81.4    2.7    5.9   10.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    18    82   100   14.1   17.1   18.0  162.6   79.5   75.7    2.5    5.5   10.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    29    71   100   16.9   19.3   14.3  149.6   76.5   66.8    5.0    8.8   14.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    19    81   100   12.8   20.3   22.3  216.4   86.8   79.2    3.0    5.7    9.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    18    82   100   20.8   30.4   24.8  194.6   84.4   78.6    3.8    8.4   15.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    35    65   100   16.4   19.6   17.1  140.6   75.7   70.2    3.0    6.8   13.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    27    73   100   12.9   17.8   11.5  172.9   80.7   74.6    2.1    5.0    9.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    34    66   100   13.9   14.9   15.6  129.9   73.4   67.3    3.4    6.7   11.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    35    65   100   13.4   18.0   16.4  155.8   78.5   69.0    2.3    5.6   10.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    19    81   100   21.1   28.5   27.7  181.6   83.2   78.3    5.1    9.7   16.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    34    66   100   14.0   17.5   14.6  150.5   77.5   69.8    3.2    6.6   11.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------