***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 13.07.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 17.07.2017.-23.07.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    27    73   100   31.1   31.6   31.5    2.2   76.3   73.6   27.7   29.2   30.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    29    71   100   31.0   31.3   31.7    2.1   74.0   71.7   27.6   29.1   30.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    31    69   100   31.1   31.4   31.4    2.0   73.5   70.9   27.7   29.2   30.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    42    58   100   24.0   24.1   27.9    1.3   67.7   65.5   21.1   22.5   23.9   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    82    18   100   30.4   31.2   28.8    1.1   64.5   62.6   28.4   30.0   31.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    65    35     0   100   26.5   26.4   23.1   -1.8   24.3   28.3   27.1   28.4   29.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    30    70   100   30.9   31.2   31.5    2.1   74.2   71.6   27.6   29.1   30.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    79    21   100   18.0   17.3   25.2   -0.2   47.1   48.1   16.2   17.5   18.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    32    68   100   31.1   31.4   30.2    1.8   72.9   70.0   27.8   29.3   30.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    80    20   100   29.6   29.8   27.2    0.7   59.2   58.2   27.7   29.1   30.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100   30.0   30.1   28.5    0.6   57.5   56.6   28.0   29.5   30.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100   29.1   28.3   26.4   -0.2   47.2   48.2   27.1   28.5   29.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    77    23   100   30.4   28.9   26.4   -0.8   39.0   41.4   28.4   29.8   31.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    33    67   100   30.7   31.1   29.9    1.9   73.7   70.9   27.5   28.9   30.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    41    59   100   31.8   31.4   30.0    1.0   63.3   61.9   29.1   30.4   31.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100   31.1   30.5   27.2   -0.1   49.0   49.7   29.1   30.5   31.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    35    65   100   30.2   30.6   31.2    2.1   73.8   71.4   27.1   28.5   29.9   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    82    18   100   28.6   28.7   26.1    0.5   56.9   56.1   26.9   28.2   29.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    25    75   100   30.7   31.1   31.8    2.3   76.6   74.1   27.2   28.7   30.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100   24.5   23.0   22.7   -0.8   39.3   41.3   22.4   23.9   25.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    40    60   100   30.8   31.0   30.8    1.5   69.0   66.8   27.9   29.3   30.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    41    59   100   30.6   30.9   30.7    1.7   70.9   68.7   27.5   29.0   30.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    16    84   100   31.1   32.0   32.2    2.9   82.5   79.4   27.4   28.9   30.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    40    60   100   30.2   30.3   29.4    1.5   68.5   66.3   27.2   28.7   30.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    40    60   100   31.1   31.5   30.0    1.8   71.2   68.6   28.1   29.6   31.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    56    44     0   100   27.9   28.0   24.5   -1.5   29.6   33.6   28.2   29.5   30.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    32    68   100   30.6   31.1   30.7    2.0   74.4   71.8   27.4   28.9   30.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    81    19   100   30.8   30.9   28.1    0.5   56.6   56.1   29.1   30.4   31.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    81    19   100   24.0   23.6   24.9    0.1   51.1   51.3   22.1   23.5   24.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    30    70   100   30.8   31.2   31.6    2.0   74.1   71.6   27.4   29.0   30.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------