***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.07.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.07.2018.-12.08.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    31    69   100   16.5   16.5   19.3    0.7   70.5   67.6   15.4   15.9   16.4   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    34    66   100   16.5   16.6   19.3    0.8   73.0   69.4   15.1   15.7   16.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    37    63   100   18.5   18.5   19.5    0.6   68.6   66.0   17.4   17.9   18.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    40    60   100   14.1   14.1   16.9    0.5   67.2   65.0   13.0   13.5   14.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    84    16   100   14.5   14.7   16.8    0.3   61.5   60.2   13.7   14.3   14.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    46    54   100   13.7   13.7   14.7    0.5   67.5   65.4   12.9   13.3   13.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    34    66   100   16.7   16.8   19.5    0.8   72.1   68.7   15.6   16.1   16.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    82    18   100    9.1    9.1   14.1    0.1   54.9   54.4    8.5    9.0    9.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    83    17   100   15.7   16.0   16.9    0.4   63.8   62.1   15.1   15.6   16.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    82    18   100   15.6   15.7   15.1    0.2   57.9   57.1   15.0   15.4   15.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    83    17   100   15.3   15.4   16.2    0.3   60.3   59.0   14.6   15.1   15.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    82    18   100   13.5   13.4   15.0    0.1   54.5   54.0   12.9   13.3   13.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    81    19   100   14.6   14.8   14.8    0.3   62.1   60.4   13.9   14.4   14.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    37    63   100   16.6   16.6   16.8    0.5   67.0   65.0   15.6   16.1   16.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    25    75   100   17.5   17.6   18.6    0.8   75.8   72.5   16.2   16.8   17.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    82    18   100   16.0   16.2   15.7    0.4   62.7   61.0   15.3   15.8   16.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    27    73   100   17.2   17.4   19.3    1.1   78.4   74.1   16.1   16.6   17.0   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    82    18   100   14.0   14.1   14.4    0.3   61.6   60.2   13.2   13.8   14.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    36    64   100   16.4   16.4   19.2    0.7   70.6   67.5   15.4   15.8   16.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    83    17   100    9.9   10.0   12.2    0.2   57.4   56.7    9.3    9.8   10.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    43    57   100   15.9   15.8   18.3    0.4   64.3   62.6   14.9   15.4   15.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    29    71   100   16.0   16.2   19.3    1.0   77.1   73.2   14.9   15.4   15.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    36    64   100   15.8   15.8   19.0    0.6   68.4   66.0   14.8   15.3   15.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    39    61   100   16.4   16.4   16.8    0.5   67.4   65.3   15.5   15.9   16.3   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    41    59   100   16.0   15.9   17.9    0.5   64.1   62.4   14.9   15.5   16.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    38    62   100   14.9   14.9   14.5    0.5   67.0   64.9   14.1   14.5   14.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    36    64   100   16.3   16.3   18.6    0.6   69.0   66.4   14.9   15.6   16.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    36    64   100   15.0   15.1   17.3    0.6   69.9   67.4   13.9   14.4   14.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    83    17   100   13.2   13.3   13.7    0.2   58.0   57.2   12.6   13.1   13.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    35    65   100   16.7   16.8   19.5    0.7   70.5   67.3   15.6   16.1   16.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------