***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.07.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 30.07.2018.-05.08.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    33    67   100   17.2   17.2   20.0    1.1   70.0   67.3   15.3   16.2   17.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    31    69   100   17.2   17.4   20.1    1.3   73.3   69.2   15.1   16.1   16.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    39    61   100   19.2   19.2   20.1    1.0   68.4   66.1   17.4   18.3   19.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    29    71   100   15.0   14.7   17.5    0.9   67.4   66.0   12.8   13.8   14.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    40    60   100   15.7   15.4   17.1    0.7   62.6   61.9   13.9   14.7   15.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    41    59   100   14.4   14.3   15.2    0.7   65.0   63.1   12.9   13.6   14.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    30    70   100   17.4   17.6   20.2    1.3   73.0   69.1   15.6   16.4   17.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    40    60   100   10.3   10.1   14.9    0.7   63.4   62.2    8.6    9.4   10.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    44    56   100   16.6   16.4   17.1    0.6   62.1   61.5   15.1   15.9   16.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    43    57   100   16.6   16.3   15.7    0.6   62.4   61.6   15.1   15.8   16.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    41    59   100   16.3   16.1   16.6    0.7   63.5   62.4   14.7   15.5   16.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    41    59   100   14.4   14.2   15.6    0.7   63.3   62.0   12.9   13.6   14.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    83    17   100   14.9   15.2   14.9    0.5   60.8   59.5   13.9   14.7   15.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    40    60   100   17.1   17.0   17.3    0.8   65.4   64.2   15.6   16.4   17.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    27    73   100   18.1   18.1   18.9    1.1   70.8   68.6   16.2   17.0   17.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    42    58   100   17.0   16.8   16.0    0.7   63.3   62.0   15.3   16.2   17.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    33    67   100   17.8   18.2   20.0    1.6   77.2   72.0   16.0   16.8   17.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    42    58   100   14.8   14.7   14.8    0.7   63.9   63.0   13.3   14.0   14.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    32    68   100   17.1   17.1   20.0    1.2   71.7   68.2   15.4   16.2   16.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    39    61   100   11.0   10.8   12.6    0.6   63.8   62.7    9.4   10.1   10.9   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    83    17   100   16.0   16.4   18.7    0.7   63.6   62.7   15.0   15.8   16.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    29    71   100   16.7   17.1   19.9    1.5   76.6   71.8   14.9   15.7   16.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    36    64   100   16.5   16.5   19.6    1.0   68.8   66.4   14.9   15.7   16.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    41    59   100   16.9   16.8   17.0    0.7   65.1   64.0   15.5   16.2   16.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    33    67   100   17.0   16.8   18.4    1.0   67.4   65.7   15.2   16.0   16.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    35    65   100   15.6   15.4   14.9    0.7   64.8   63.2   14.0   14.7   15.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    33    67   100   17.3   17.3   19.2    1.1   69.3   66.9   15.0   16.1   17.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    31    69   100   15.7   15.6   17.8    0.9   67.4   65.8   14.0   14.8   15.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    43    57   100   14.2   14.0   14.2    0.6   63.4   62.5   12.5   13.4   14.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    30    70   100   17.4   17.5   20.2    1.2   71.6   68.0   15.6   16.4   17.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------