***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.07.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.07.2012.-22.07.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    76    24     0   100 9999.0    0.0    3.4   25.9   29.2   22.6 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    82    18     0   100    2.4    3.5    3.9   33.4   31.2   23.3    3.7    7.3   12.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00    81    19     0   100    2.3    2.5    3.1   25.1   25.8   20.0    3.5    6.5   10.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    81    19     0   100    1.9    1.5    2.4   19.1   24.0   18.3    2.9    7.1   13.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    83    17     0   100    1.6    1.4    2.6   20.0   24.5   18.6    2.6    5.8   11.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    83    17     0   100    1.4    1.8    3.0   21.6   28.7   18.6    2.5    5.9   11.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    72    28     0   100    2.1    2.8    4.3   37.0   34.6   27.3    2.6    5.5    9.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    85    15     0   100    2.3    2.0    2.4   18.3   21.3   15.3    3.9    7.8   13.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    90    10     0   100    0.8    0.8    2.6   19.6   21.8   16.8    1.8    4.2    8.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    89    11     0   100    1.2    1.2    2.7   18.8   21.4   16.3    2.4    5.1    9.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    83    17     0   100    1.2    1.1    2.2   19.3   24.5   17.7    2.0    4.8    9.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    86    14     0   100    1.5    1.3    1.8   17.1   22.1   14.6    2.8    6.5   12.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    89    11     0   100    0.7    0.7    2.1   17.1   23.2   15.9    1.5    3.6    7.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    83    17     0   100    2.1    2.0    4.4   29.0   25.4   20.5    3.4    7.5   14.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    79    21     0   100    1.5    1.1    2.3   20.5   23.4   17.7    2.3    5.2    9.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    84    16     0   100    1.1    0.9    2.0   16.8   22.8   16.2    1.8    4.0    7.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01    73    27     0   100    2.1    2.8    4.5   38.9   34.7   27.7    2.6    4.8    7.7   29   Palic                         
37000G16    92     8     0   100    1.3    1.1    3.1   19.2   18.9   15.0    2.8    5.9   10.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    86    14     0   100    2.1    2.8    3.6   30.6   27.2   19.9    3.7    7.2   12.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    85    15     0   100    1.9    1.9    3.3   23.5   22.6   17.9    3.3    6.4   10.9   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    85    15     0   100    1.2    1.0    2.5   19.2   22.7   17.4    2.0    4.3    7.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    74    26     0   100    2.2    2.8    4.5   39.3   32.4   25.9    2.9    5.4    8.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    89    11     0   100    1.8    2.3    3.8   30.1   25.8   18.6    3.2    6.1    9.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    89    11     0   100    1.6    1.5    3.3   21.9   20.5   16.7    3.1    6.2   10.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    81    19     0   100    2.3    2.0    3.4   23.8   23.9   19.7    3.5    7.1   12.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    86    14     0   100    1.0    1.0    1.7   17.2   24.0   16.1    1.8    4.1    7.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    77    23     0   100    2.5    2.5    4.0   28.3   27.9   22.6    3.3    7.9   15.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    81    19     0   100    1.8    1.5    2.3   19.7   25.6   18.9    2.8    6.3   12.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    88    12     0   100    2.8    2.7    3.5   22.7   21.0   16.9    5.1    9.5   15.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    81    19     0   100    2.1    2.8    3.8   32.3   30.2   22.7    3.2    6.1   10.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------