***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 11.07.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 15.07.2019.-21.07.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04   100     0     0   100   13.5   12.7   16.0   -2.4    8.6   10.7   14.7   15.6   16.4   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06   100     0     0   100   13.2   12.2   15.7   -2.5    7.9    9.4   14.4   15.4   16.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00   100     0     0   100   15.3   14.4   16.3   -2.3    8.4   10.5   16.6   17.6   18.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    95     5     0   100   10.4   10.1   14.0   -1.8   14.7   16.6   11.9   13.1   14.3   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    95     5     0   100   11.8   11.3   14.6   -2.0   12.3   14.6   13.0   14.0   14.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    95     5     0   100   11.2   11.0   12.0   -1.7   14.1   16.1   12.2   13.0   13.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03   100     0     0   100   13.6   12.5   15.7   -2.6    6.9    8.4   14.9   15.9   16.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    99     1     0   100    6.3    5.6   11.7   -2.0    9.9   11.7    7.5    8.4    9.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    98     2     0   100   13.3   12.9   14.9   -1.9   12.3   14.4   14.4   15.3   16.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    95     5     0   100   13.3   12.9   12.9   -1.9   11.7   13.8   14.3   15.2   15.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    99     1     0   100   13.1   12.6   14.2   -2.1    9.6   11.4   14.1   14.9   15.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    99     1     0   100   11.2   10.5   12.7   -2.2    9.0   10.8   12.1   12.9   13.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    98     2     0   100   12.4   11.7   13.1   -2.1    9.4   11.6   13.3   14.1   14.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    98     2     0   100   14.0   13.7   14.4   -1.8   13.0   15.2   15.0   15.8   16.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    97     3     0   100   14.8   14.6   16.3   -2.0   13.9   15.5   15.8   16.6   17.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    97     3     0   100   13.5   12.8   13.8   -2.1   10.1   12.3   14.6   15.5   16.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01   100     0     0   100   14.4   13.6   15.6   -2.4    8.4    9.9   15.6   16.5   17.4   29   Palic                         
37000G16    96     4     0   100   11.6   11.2   12.2   -1.8   12.6   14.8   12.6   13.5   14.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06   100     0     0   100   13.6   12.9   15.9   -2.4    8.4   10.0   14.7   15.6   16.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    98     2     0   100    7.6    7.2   10.2   -1.9   11.2   13.3    8.6    9.4   10.1   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10   100     0     0   100   13.0   12.4   15.7   -2.1    9.9   11.9   14.2   15.1   15.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05   100     0     0   100   13.2   12.5   15.9   -2.3    8.9   10.4   14.3   15.2   16.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07   100     0     0   100   13.0   12.3   15.9   -2.4    9.3   11.1   14.0   14.9   15.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    98     2     0   100   13.7   13.2   14.4   -1.9   11.3   13.5   14.7   15.6   16.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    98     2     0   100   12.9   12.2   15.2   -2.3   10.5   12.8   14.1   15.1   16.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    94     6     0   100   12.5   12.1   12.0   -2.0   11.9   14.9   13.4   14.1   14.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    98     2     0   100   12.6   11.8   15.5   -2.3    9.8   12.0   14.1   15.3   16.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    96     4     0   100   12.2   12.1   14.8   -1.8   14.9   16.7   13.3   14.1   15.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    97     3     0   100   10.4    9.9   11.4   -1.8   11.9   14.1   11.6   12.6   13.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02   100     0     0   100   13.7   12.7   16.0   -2.5    7.6    9.3   14.9   15.9   16.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------