***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 09.07.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 03.08.2020.-09.08.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    63    37     0   100   15.2   16.1   19.4   -0.2   46.6   46.9   15.5   16.2   16.9   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    63    37     0   100   14.6   15.7   19.1   -0.2   45.3   46.3   15.0   16.0   16.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00    65    35     0   100   16.9   18.2   19.8   -0.1   48.9   48.0   17.3   18.2   19.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    63    37     0   100   12.3   13.9   17.4    0.3   56.2   52.4   12.7   13.6   14.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    66    34     0   100   13.5   14.5   16.9   -0.2   44.6   45.9   13.9   14.8   15.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    60    40     0   100   12.7   13.8   15.4    0.2   54.9   51.5   12.9   13.6   14.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    59    41     0   100   15.0   16.1   19.3   -0.1   47.9   48.3   15.3   16.2   17.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    66    34     0   100    8.1    9.0   14.7   -0.3   42.8   45.1    8.5    9.3   10.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    66    34     0   100   14.8   15.7   16.9   -0.2   45.9   46.7   15.2   15.9   16.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    64    36     0   100   14.7   15.6   15.4   -0.2   45.7   46.7   15.1   15.8   16.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    66    34     0   100   14.3   15.1   16.5   -0.4   41.6   44.3   14.7   15.5   16.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    63    37     0   100   12.7   13.3   15.6   -0.4   41.5   44.5   13.0   13.7   14.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    62    38     0   100   13.6   14.3   14.7   -0.3   41.8   44.4   13.9   14.7   15.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    66    34     0   100   15.4   16.4   16.9    0.0   49.2   48.5   15.7   16.5   17.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    60    40     0   100   15.8   17.4   19.1    0.5   60.4   54.6   16.1   16.9   17.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    60    40     0   100   15.1   16.0   15.8   -0.2   45.5   46.4   15.4   16.3   17.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01    62    38     0   100   15.4   16.4   18.8   -0.2   45.9   46.4   15.7   16.6   17.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16    59    41     0   100   13.2   14.2   14.4   -0.1   48.4   48.4   13.5   14.2   15.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    64    36     0   100   14.9   15.8   19.2   -0.2   46.0   46.6   15.2   16.0   16.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    58    42     0   100    9.2    9.9   12.0   -0.3   42.8   45.3    9.5   10.3   11.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    67    33     0   100   14.6   15.5   18.4   -0.2   46.1   46.6   15.0   15.7   16.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    59    41     0   100   14.6   15.5   18.9    0.0   49.1   48.1   14.8   15.6   16.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    66    34     0   100   14.4   15.5   19.3   -0.1   48.7   48.1   14.8   15.6   16.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    63    37     0   100   15.1   16.1   16.8    0.0   49.9   49.0   15.4   16.1   16.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    65    35     0   100   14.7   15.7   17.7   -0.3   44.8   45.9   15.1   15.9   16.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    63    37     0   100   13.8   14.6   14.7   -0.2   44.8   46.5   14.1   14.8   15.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    62    38     0   100   14.7   16.0   18.5   -0.2   46.0   46.7   15.2   16.2   17.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    61    39     0   100   13.5   15.1   17.9    0.4   59.9   54.4   13.9   14.7   15.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    59    41     0   100   12.1   13.1   13.9   -0.1   46.9   47.5   12.4   13.2   14.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    62    38     0   100   15.2   16.2   19.5   -0.2   46.6   47.1   15.5   16.4   17.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------