***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 30.06.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.07.2016.-17.07.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    81    19   100   15.7   15.9   18.5    0.5   59.4   55.1   14.5   15.4   16.3   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    78    22   100   15.7   16.3   18.4    0.8   65.5   60.5   14.2   15.3   16.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    80    20   100   17.6   17.8   18.7    0.5   60.1   55.7   16.4   17.3   18.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100   13.1   13.6   16.6    0.8   66.7   60.1   11.7   12.7   13.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100   14.5   14.9   16.9    0.7   64.6   59.1   13.3   14.2   15.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    81    19   100   13.2   13.8   14.7    0.9   70.5   63.3   12.2   12.9   13.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    78    22   100   16.1   16.3   18.4    0.5   60.1   56.5   14.9   15.8   16.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100    8.6    9.1   14.5    0.8   67.7   61.6    7.5    8.3    9.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100   15.6   16.0   17.0    0.6   64.7   58.8   14.5   15.3   16.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   15.5   15.9   15.3    0.7   66.0   60.0   14.4   15.2   15.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100   15.3   15.7   16.6    0.7   66.6   60.3   14.3   15.0   15.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100   13.3   13.8   15.6    0.8   67.9   61.6   12.2   13.0   13.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    51    49     0   100   13.4   14.9   15.2    0.7   66.8   60.4   13.5   14.2   14.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    75    25   100   16.2   16.7   16.7    0.7   66.4   60.6   15.1   15.9   16.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    80    20   100   16.9   17.4   18.5    0.8   67.8   60.7   15.9   16.6   17.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    40    60   100   16.3   16.3   16.1    0.8   68.5   61.9   14.6   15.4   16.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    37    63   100   17.2   17.3   18.4    1.0   69.9   63.8   15.3   16.2   17.0   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    78    22   100   13.9   14.3   14.7    0.7   66.0   60.1   12.8   13.6   14.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    79    21   100   15.8   16.4   18.6    0.9   67.8   62.0   14.5   15.4   16.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100    9.6   10.1   12.6    0.8   68.3   62.4    8.6    9.3   10.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100   15.4   15.6   18.1    0.5   60.2   55.4   14.3   15.1   15.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    38    62   100   16.1   16.4   18.6    1.1   73.0   65.6   14.3   15.2   16.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    41    59   100   15.8   16.0   18.7    1.1   71.8   64.6   14.1   14.9   15.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    77    23   100   15.9   16.3   16.7    0.7   64.8   59.0   14.7   15.5   16.3   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    81    19   100   15.5   15.8   17.6    0.6   62.5   57.2   14.3   15.2   16.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    79    21   100   14.2   14.6   14.8    0.8   67.6   60.9   13.3   14.0   14.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    81    19   100   15.3   15.6   18.0    0.5   60.8   55.9   14.0   15.0   15.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    79    21   100   14.6   15.2   17.3    0.9   68.3   61.2   13.5   14.3   15.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   12.5   12.9   13.9    0.7   66.6   61.0   11.4   12.2   12.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    79    21   100   16.2   16.4   18.5    0.5   61.1   56.8   14.9   15.8   16.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------