***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 28.06.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 23.07.2018.-29.07.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    62    38     0   100    3.3   16.8    9.8  105.4   67.6   45.5    3.0    7.6   15.8   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    60    40     0   100    3.1   13.8    9.9  114.7   70.2   47.7    2.9    6.4   11.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00    63    37     0   100    3.1   17.7   10.3  113.9   69.7   47.7    2.7    7.3   15.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    64    36     0   100    3.7   15.0    8.3   91.2   63.3   44.1    3.9    8.7   16.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    66    34     0   100    2.6    9.9    7.6   90.3   63.2   40.5    2.7    6.0   11.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    56    44     0   100    4.1   11.9    9.0   85.3   61.2   44.7    3.6    7.8   14.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    63    37     0   100    3.8   16.1    9.2  108.1   68.5   45.8    4.0    8.3   14.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    51    49     0   100    6.7   20.8   10.4  103.1   66.2   50.4    5.7   11.7   20.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    58    42     0   100    2.8   12.6    9.3  100.2   66.4   44.9    2.3    6.1   12.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    51    49     0   100    4.6   17.0   11.0  100.1   65.7   47.5    3.5    8.6   17.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    61    39     0   100    2.9   10.7    7.0   92.3   63.6   43.4    2.7    6.3   11.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    56    44     0   100    3.2   12.1    7.2   93.6   63.5   47.2    2.6    6.6   13.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    56    44     0   100    2.6    7.9    6.9   84.7   61.3   45.6    2.4    5.1    9.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    61    39     0   100    4.9   21.1   12.1  100.1   66.2   46.5    4.6   10.8   20.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    70    30     0   100    2.2    8.4    6.1   83.1   61.2   39.9    2.4    5.5   10.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    57    43     0   100    2.4    6.9    6.7   86.9   61.8   44.3    2.3    4.6    7.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01    57    43     0   100    5.1   20.2    9.6  114.5   70.0   47.8    4.7   10.0   17.8   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    78    22   100   15.1   21.5   14.0  107.6   67.7   51.5    4.6   10.3   19.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    61    39     0   100    4.1   19.6   10.1  115.9   70.4   47.8    3.9    8.9   16.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    78    22   100   10.7   14.1   14.5  108.4   67.4   54.2    4.2    8.0   13.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    60    40     0   100    3.8   14.7    9.3  102.7   67.0   44.1    3.7    7.9   14.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    57    43     0   100    5.6   20.1    9.5  107.1   67.9   47.6    5.2   10.7   18.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    65    35     0   100    3.4   18.2   10.3  116.7   70.5   46.5    3.4    8.0   15.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    55    45     0   100    4.5   19.0   11.9  105.2   67.4   48.3    3.8    9.0   17.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    59    41     0   100    4.0   14.4    9.1   91.9   63.8   42.9    3.8    8.2   15.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100   10.3   11.7    5.8   92.3   63.3   48.0    3.5    7.3   12.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    58    42     0   100    3.8   14.6   10.0   99.8   66.1   45.4    3.3    7.7   14.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    69    31     0   100    3.3   12.4    7.1   84.6   61.3   40.6    3.7    8.1   14.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   20.3   27.7   15.0  111.5   68.5   53.0    7.6   14.9   25.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    64    36     0   100    4.0   17.8   10.1  113.7   69.8   47.9    4.1    8.8   15.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------