***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 06.06.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 01.07.2019.-07.07.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    52    48     0   100   27.8   29.3   28.1    0.3   55.7   52.1   27.9   29.0   29.9   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100   28.9   28.8   28.1    0.4   56.0   51.9   27.4   28.4   29.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    76    24   100   29.0   29.3   28.7    0.7   60.9   55.1   27.3   28.5   29.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100   22.3   22.8   26.8    0.8   63.1   57.8   20.2   21.7   23.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   29.7   30.0   26.9    0.6   59.6   55.0   27.8   29.2   30.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100   28.2   28.7   24.8    0.8   63.2   57.2   26.3   27.6   28.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100   28.7   28.5   27.9    0.2   53.4   50.6   27.1   28.3   29.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100   17.4   17.4   25.0    0.4   56.9   53.0   15.6   16.9   18.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   29.1   29.5   27.1    0.7   61.2   55.6   27.2   28.6   29.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   28.9   29.1   25.7    0.6   59.0   54.0   27.1   28.4   29.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100   29.3   29.7   26.8    0.7   61.6   56.3   27.4   28.7   30.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100   28.4   28.8   26.6    0.8   61.8   56.6   26.5   27.9   29.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    77    23   100   29.6   29.9   25.8    0.7   60.9   55.8   27.6   29.1   30.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    51    49     0   100   26.8   28.3   26.0    0.2   52.5   50.0   27.0   28.1   29.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    36    64   100   31.0   31.3   28.4    1.3   71.8   64.0   28.2   29.6   30.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100   30.2   30.8   26.6    0.9   64.5   58.4   28.2   29.6   30.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    76    24   100   28.1   28.2   28.1    0.6   58.7   54.1   26.6   27.6   28.7   29   Palic                         
37000G16    51    49     0   100   26.0   28.0   24.9    0.4   55.7   51.8   26.2   27.6   28.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   28.5   28.5   28.3    0.5   58.0   53.0   26.9   28.0   29.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    78    22   100   23.8   23.2   22.1    0.0   49.8   48.0   21.8   23.2   24.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100   29.2   29.3   27.8    0.5   57.6   53.3   27.4   28.7   29.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100   28.7   28.9   27.9    0.6   60.1   54.8   27.1   28.3   29.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   28.7   28.8   28.3    0.6   59.5   54.0   27.0   28.2   29.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    51    49     0   100   26.5   28.3   26.4    0.4   56.5   52.3   26.7   27.9   29.0   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    52    48     0   100   27.2   28.9   26.5    0.2   53.9   51.3   27.4   28.6   29.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100   29.1   30.1   26.6    1.2   69.1   61.7   27.3   28.6   29.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    54    46     0   100   26.8   28.4   27.2    0.3   54.5   51.5   27.0   28.2   29.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    39    61   100   31.1   31.1   27.5    1.2   68.5   61.6   28.2   29.6   30.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100   23.4   23.0   23.7    0.1   52.3   49.6   21.4   22.8   24.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100   28.7   28.6   28.1    0.4   56.1   51.9   27.1   28.2   29.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------