***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 02.06.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 27.06.2016.-03.07.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    56    44     0   100    6.6   16.6   10.5   93.5   64.0   44.4    6.5   11.3   17.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100   15.5   16.8    9.0   86.6   61.9   44.8    7.7   12.4   18.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00    58    42     0   100    6.0   15.2    9.8   87.2   62.2   43.8    6.1   10.7   16.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    60    40     0   100    4.3   14.3    9.8   99.2   66.3   42.2    4.2    8.4   14.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    60    40     0   100    3.5   10.5    8.9   87.6   62.8   40.3    3.5    6.9   11.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    69    31     0   100    2.8    8.1    8.7   71.0   56.1   36.1    3.3    6.6   11.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    56    44     0   100    5.2   12.5    9.6   90.5   63.0   44.3    5.2    8.8   13.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    63    37     0   100    8.6   19.5    7.6   70.1   54.1   37.7    9.2   17.2   28.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    62    38     0   100    4.1   10.9    9.1   79.4   60.3   38.9    4.4    8.0   12.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    62    38     0   100    6.0   14.5    9.3   74.9   57.0   39.2    6.3   11.7   19.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    63    37     0   100    3.6   11.0    7.8   86.9   61.8   40.6    3.7    7.4   12.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    61    39     0   100    5.1   11.9    6.5   72.9   56.4   38.1    5.3    9.7   15.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    59    41     0   100    2.8    6.9    7.5   74.3   58.2   38.7    2.8    5.3    8.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    56    44     0   100    7.5   18.3   11.4   79.6   59.7   43.1    7.4   13.6   22.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    54    46     0   100    3.1   10.6    7.0   88.3   62.9   40.5    2.4    5.9   12.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    64    36     0   100    2.4    9.1    8.5   90.7   63.3   40.1    2.4    5.4   10.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01    55    45     0   100    6.0   16.6    9.0   91.8   63.0   44.7    5.6   10.8   18.3   29   Palic                         
37000G16    59    41     0   100    8.8   17.9   10.7   76.0   57.6   41.6    9.3   14.9   22.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    75    25   100   13.5   14.1    8.9   83.6   60.7   44.3    5.7   10.2   16.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    57    43     0   100    6.5   12.2    9.4   66.8   51.2   39.6    6.4   11.7   18.9   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    62    38     0   100    6.0   17.4    9.7   87.8   63.2   41.0    6.2   11.7   18.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    55    45     0   100    8.2   18.4    8.7   88.7   61.5   45.5    8.1   13.6   20.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    54    46     0   100    6.9   14.7    8.5   75.8   58.3   43.0    6.6   11.6   18.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    61    39     0   100    8.5   20.6   10.2   77.0   59.1   41.6    9.1   15.8   24.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    59    41     0   100    5.4   15.1   11.4   99.5   66.4   46.2    5.6    9.6   14.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    62    38     0   100    3.0    7.3    4.8   68.0   56.0   36.3    3.1    6.0   10.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    57    43     0   100    7.4   19.2   11.5   95.1   64.6   45.8    7.5   12.8   19.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    61    39     0   100    2.9   10.7    8.9   98.9   66.3   40.4    2.9    6.0   10.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    57    43     0   100    9.9   21.5   11.0   75.8   56.1   42.3    9.8   18.0   28.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    77    23   100   15.7   17.4    9.5   87.8   62.4   45.4    7.5   12.5   19.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------