***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 19.05.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 30.05.2016.-05.06.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    43    57   100   13.3   13.6   15.6    1.4   72.1   68.2   11.6   12.5   13.3   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    39    61   100   13.7   14.1   15.4    1.6   74.5   70.7   11.5   12.6   13.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    41    59   100   15.2   15.7   15.9    1.6   75.5   71.3   13.2   14.2   15.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    39    61   100   10.2   10.7   13.4    1.6   76.4   71.5    8.2    9.1   10.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    36    64   100   12.0   12.6   13.9    1.7   78.9   73.7   10.2   11.1   11.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    30    70   100   10.8   11.2   11.5    1.7   79.8   73.8    9.4   10.0   10.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    40    60   100   13.7   14.1   15.5    1.5   73.8   70.0   11.7   12.7   13.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    32    68   100    5.8    6.4   11.5    1.8   80.8   75.5    4.1    4.9    5.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    36    64   100   13.0   13.5   14.1    1.7   79.5   74.7   11.5   12.2   12.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    35    65   100   12.9   13.5   12.5    1.8   80.9   75.7   11.4   12.1   12.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    34    66   100   12.6   13.1   13.5    1.7   79.2   74.5   11.0   11.7   12.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    31    69   100   11.0   11.4   12.3    1.7   79.2   74.1    9.3   10.1   10.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    30    70   100   12.3   12.7   12.2    1.6   79.2   73.6   10.7   11.4   12.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    31    69   100   13.8   14.5   14.0    1.9   81.6   76.5   11.9   12.8   13.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    40    60   100   13.9   14.1   14.9    1.3   73.9   69.8   12.4   13.1   13.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    33    67   100   13.0   13.6   12.9    1.7   79.1   73.7   11.3   12.1   12.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    33    67   100   13.9   14.4   15.4    1.7   77.2   73.0   12.0   12.9   13.7   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    34    66   100   11.7   12.5   12.0    1.9   82.2   76.6   10.0   10.8   11.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    40    60   100   13.5   14.0   15.5    1.6   75.4   71.4   11.7   12.6   13.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    31    69   100    7.5    8.2    9.9    1.9   82.6   76.4    6.1    6.7    7.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    39    61   100   13.0   13.5   15.4    1.7   77.8   72.9   11.3   12.1   12.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    35    65   100   13.2   13.7   15.4    1.7   77.7   73.7   11.4   12.2   13.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    38    62   100   13.3   13.9   15.5    1.8   78.1   73.6   11.2   12.2   13.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    32    68   100   13.1   13.8   14.0    1.9   81.0   76.1   11.4   12.2   12.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    42    58   100   13.1   13.4   14.6    1.4   72.2   67.7   11.3   12.2   13.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    26    74   100   11.8   12.4   11.8    1.8   82.4   75.4   10.2   10.9   11.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    42    58   100   13.4   13.7   15.1    1.4   71.5   67.4   11.2   12.3   13.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    36    64   100   11.8   12.3   13.9    1.6   78.3   73.0   10.4   11.0   11.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    34    66   100   10.2   11.0   11.2    1.9   81.9   76.5    8.2    9.1   10.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    43    57   100   13.7   14.1   15.6    1.5   73.2   69.6   11.8   12.7   13.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------