***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 18.05.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 05.06.2017.-11.06.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    36    64   100   27.9   28.3   26.5    1.7   72.2   66.1   24.2   25.9   27.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    31    69   100   27.9   28.5   26.9    2.1   75.5   68.0   24.3   25.9   27.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    36    64   100   27.8   28.2   26.8    1.8   72.0   65.9   24.3   26.0   27.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    38    62   100   20.4   20.5   24.1    1.4   70.0   63.9   17.3   18.8   20.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    40    60   100   28.0   28.1   24.5    1.4   68.9   63.2   24.8   26.4   27.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    80    20   100   25.4   26.4   21.9    1.3   68.2   62.5   23.6   25.0   26.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    30    70   100   27.5   27.9   26.8    2.0   74.5   67.2   24.0   25.5   27.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    81    19   100   14.6   15.7   22.6    1.4   68.6   62.9   12.8   14.2   15.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    42    58   100   27.3   27.6   24.9    1.6   70.2   64.1   24.1   25.7   27.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    81    19   100   26.1   27.4   23.4    1.5   69.3   63.4   24.0   25.6   27.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    80    20   100   26.8   28.1   24.2    1.5   69.9   63.8   24.7   26.2   27.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    42    58   100   26.5   26.7   23.7    1.5   69.6   63.4   23.7   25.1   26.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100   26.8   27.8   22.8    1.4   68.1   62.4   24.9   26.3   27.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    40    60   100   27.6   27.3   24.3    1.3   65.4   60.9   24.1   25.8   27.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    32    68   100   28.3   28.6   25.1    1.5   72.6   65.6   25.4   26.7   28.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    41    59   100   28.3   28.6   23.7    1.5   70.3   64.0   25.4   26.8   28.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    30    70   100   27.4   27.8   26.8    2.0   74.4   67.1   23.8   25.4   26.9   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    80    20   100   25.6   26.7   22.9    1.5   68.1   62.5   23.4   25.0   26.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    33    67   100   27.4   27.9   26.9    2.1   74.5   67.3   23.8   25.5   27.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100   21.1   22.0   20.2    1.3   66.8   61.6   19.0   20.5   21.9   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    42    58   100   27.6   27.8   25.7    1.5   68.9   63.4   24.2   25.9   27.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    32    68   100   27.9   28.1   26.3    1.8   71.7   65.2   24.2   25.9   27.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    35    65   100   27.7   28.0   26.5    1.8   71.5   65.4   24.2   25.8   27.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    40    60   100   27.0   27.1   24.5    1.5   68.3   62.8   23.7   25.3   26.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    39    61   100   27.7   27.7   24.5    1.4   68.3   63.0   24.4   26.0   27.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    36    64   100   27.3   28.1   23.6    2.2   78.0   69.1   24.5   25.8   27.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    37    63   100   27.4   27.6   25.5    1.6   71.1   65.1   24.2   25.7   27.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    36    64   100   28.2   28.4   24.3    1.5   71.1   64.6   25.4   26.7   28.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    80    20   100   20.8   21.7   21.8    1.3   66.0   61.0   18.5   20.2   21.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    33    67   100   27.7   28.1   26.8    2.0   74.2   67.2   24.2   25.8   27.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------