***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 10.05.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.05.2012.-27.05.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    42    58   100 9999.0   13.7   14.6    1.0   69.6   63.9 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    39    61   100   13.2   13.6   14.8    1.3   74.4   66.5   11.1   12.1   13.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    37    63   100   14.8   15.0   14.5    1.1   71.9   65.3   12.8   13.8   14.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    39    61   100    9.8    9.8   12.4    0.8   68.8   64.4    7.4    8.6    9.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    37    63   100   11.9   11.9   12.2    0.8   68.9   64.1    9.9   10.8   11.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    36    64   100   10.4   10.6   10.5    0.9   71.9   66.7    8.7    9.5   10.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    40    60   100   13.1   13.5   14.8    1.3   73.6   66.3   11.2   12.1   13.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    34    66   100    5.6    5.8   10.5    1.0   72.7   66.1    3.4    4.4    5.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    35    65   100   12.6   12.7   12.7    0.9   71.1   65.2   10.7   11.6   12.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    34    66   100   12.6   12.7   11.2    1.0   72.3   66.1   10.6   11.5   12.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    33    67   100   12.4   12.5   11.7    0.9   70.8   65.5   10.6   11.4   12.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    34    66   100   10.6   10.7   11.3    0.9   71.4   65.8    8.6    9.5   10.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    38    62   100   11.7   11.8   10.8    0.8   69.3   65.0   10.0   10.8   11.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    32    68   100   13.3   13.4   12.6    1.0   71.4   64.8   11.3   12.2   13.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    34    66   100   13.6   13.9   13.2    1.1   74.8   68.5   11.7   12.6   13.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    37    63   100   12.8   12.8   11.4    0.8   69.4   65.0   10.8   11.7   12.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    35    65   100   13.5   14.0   14.6    1.4   76.1   67.1   11.4   12.4   13.3   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    31    69   100   11.3   11.5   10.6    1.0   73.2   66.7    9.1   10.1   11.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    37    63   100   13.2   13.5   14.7    1.3   74.2   66.2   11.2   12.1   13.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    35    65   100    7.3    7.6    8.7    1.1   73.2   66.0    5.3    6.3    7.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    38    62   100   12.6   12.7   13.7    0.9   70.2   64.4   10.7   11.6   12.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    36    64   100   12.6   13.0   14.4    1.3   75.3   66.0   10.6   11.6   12.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    35    65   100   12.8   13.0   14.3    1.1   72.9   65.4   10.8   11.7   12.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    32    68   100   12.7   12.9   12.5    1.0   72.5   66.0   10.7   11.7   12.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    39    61   100   13.0   13.1   13.1    0.9   69.0   63.6   10.9   11.9   12.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    41    59   100   11.2   11.3   10.9    0.8   68.6   63.9    9.4   10.3   11.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    41    59   100   13.1   13.2   13.8    0.9   69.3   63.7   11.1   12.1   13.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    36    64   100   11.5   11.6   12.7    0.9   70.5   65.5    9.8   10.6   11.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    30    70   100    9.7   10.0    9.8    1.1   73.9   66.9    7.5    8.5    9.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    39    61   100   13.3   13.7   14.9    1.2   73.2   65.9   11.3   12.3   13.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------