***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 09.05.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 13.05.2013.-09.06.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    81    19   100 9999.0   71.1   64.3  104.0   60.1   53.5 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100   64.1   68.9   63.4  108.3   62.9   54.9   44.0   57.4   72.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100   73.2   78.5   64.3  107.0   61.9   54.4   50.0   65.7   83.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100   82.5   90.7   77.9  112.1   65.4   57.1   61.3   75.7   91.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    76    24   100   70.2   73.8   73.6  107.5   62.3   55.2   50.0   63.3   77.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    79    21   100   65.6   70.1   95.6  107.3   62.1   56.5   47.5   60.0   73.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100   59.0   63.2   64.6  107.2   62.1   54.3   38.3   51.8   67.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    79    21   100  106.4  111.1   78.7  107.1   61.8   55.6   85.6  100.1  115.5   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100   64.2   67.1   71.5  106.6   61.7   55.3   49.0   59.4   70.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   74.4   76.6   79.7  104.3   59.8   53.8   54.1   67.9   82.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100   60.9   64.7   67.3  107.3   62.1   55.4   43.8   55.4   68.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100   59.7   66.2   67.1  111.1   64.6   58.0   42.4   54.5   67.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100   60.0   64.9   80.6  109.6   63.8   57.5   44.6   55.3   66.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    78    22   100   91.2   94.9   76.2  104.9   60.5   53.6   66.8   83.3  101.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    51    49     0   100   37.6   60.8   67.3  106.8   61.9   53.5   38.0   50.5   65.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100   59.7   64.6   74.6  109.7   63.8   57.4   43.9   54.6   66.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100   63.7   66.6   61.1  104.8   60.6   53.2   40.0   55.3   73.4   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    80    20   100   78.2   81.4   89.4  105.5   60.7   54.8   61.4   73.3   85.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100   70.8   76.9   62.5  108.6   63.1   55.1   46.5   62.4   80.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    80    20   100   74.2   79.3   99.6  109.0   63.5   56.8   58.8   69.7   81.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100   61.0   64.4   64.2  105.6   61.1   54.7   43.9   55.6   68.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    75    25   100   73.0   73.6   59.8  102.5   59.0   51.3   48.2   64.1   81.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    79    21   100   61.3   67.2   64.4  110.2   64.1   56.3   44.1   55.9   68.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100   80.2   82.8   77.4  105.5   60.8   54.1   65.4   75.7   86.7   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    80    20   100   67.3   71.9   78.8  106.9   61.9   55.2   49.1   61.8   75.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    79    21   100   55.6   61.7   72.9  110.3   64.2   58.4   38.2   50.1   63.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    82    18   100   69.1   73.4   75.2  105.4   60.9   54.3   50.5   64.0   78.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    77    23   100   55.3   58.9   72.1  108.5   63.1   55.4   39.9   50.3   61.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    80    20   100   95.5   99.1   90.0  105.5   60.6   54.8   75.5   89.8  104.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100   65.2   70.9   64.6  108.8   63.3   55.5   44.1   58.2   73.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------