***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 04.05.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 29.05.2017.-04.06.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    79    21   100   12.7   12.8   14.2    0.4   57.8   55.6   11.6   12.4   13.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    81    19   100   12.8   13.0   14.2    0.5   59.4   56.6   11.4   12.4   13.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    80    20   100   14.4   14.5   14.2    0.4   57.5   55.5   13.2   14.1   15.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100    9.3    9.4   11.7    0.5   59.0   57.0    8.0    8.9    9.8   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100   11.3   11.2   11.6    0.3   55.6   54.6   10.1   10.9   11.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100   10.1   10.1    9.7    0.3   56.9   54.7    9.3    9.9   10.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    79    21   100   12.9   13.1   14.2    0.5   59.1   56.3   11.7   12.6   13.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100    5.0    4.8    9.3    0.1   53.0   52.6    3.8    4.6    5.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100   12.3   12.2   11.8    0.2   54.5   53.5   11.3   12.0   12.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    77    23   100   12.2   12.1   10.2    0.2   53.2   52.6   11.3   12.0   12.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100   11.9   11.8   10.9    0.2   55.2   54.6   10.9   11.6   12.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100   10.2   10.1   10.0    0.2   53.6   53.5    9.2    9.9   10.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100   11.5   11.3    9.7    0.1   52.4   52.3   10.5   11.2   11.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   13.0   12.9   11.8    0.2   55.0   54.1   11.9   12.7   13.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100   13.3   13.5   13.1    0.6   62.1   58.7   12.3   13.0   13.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100   12.3   12.2   10.5    0.3   55.5   54.7   11.2   12.0   12.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    79    21   100   13.1   13.2   14.0    0.5   59.4   56.4   11.9   12.8   13.6   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100   10.9   10.7    9.4    0.1   52.9   52.4    9.8   10.6   11.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100   12.8   13.0   14.1    0.5   59.6   56.9   11.7   12.5   13.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100    6.9    6.6    7.3    0.1   52.0   51.5    5.8    6.6    7.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    80    20   100   12.3   12.3   13.2    0.3   55.4   54.0   11.3   12.0   12.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100   12.4   12.5   13.8    0.5   58.8   56.2   11.3   12.1   12.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    80    20   100   12.4   12.6   13.9    0.5   59.4   56.9   11.1   12.1   13.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100   12.4   12.3   11.5    0.2   54.5   53.6   11.3   12.1   12.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100   12.5   12.5   12.7    0.4   57.0   55.2   11.3   12.1   13.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100   11.0   11.0    9.6    0.4   57.9   55.9   10.0   10.7   11.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    79    21   100   12.6   12.8   13.5    0.5   58.4   55.9   11.1   12.2   13.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    78    22   100   11.2   11.3   12.1    0.5   60.1   57.4   10.2   10.9   11.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100    9.3    9.1    8.8    0.1   52.9   52.2    8.0    9.0    9.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    80    20   100   13.0   13.1   14.2    0.5   58.3   55.9   11.7   12.7   13.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------