***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 03.05.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.05.2018.-13.05.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     5    95   100   12.1   13.9   13.8    2.9   92.9   89.5    9.3   10.3   11.3   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0     2    98   100   12.5   14.6   13.7    3.0   94.6   91.3    9.5   10.6   11.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0     4    96   100   13.9   15.7   13.8    2.8   93.4   90.0   11.1   12.1   13.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0     4    96   100    9.1   11.5   11.0    2.9   95.2   91.7    6.1    7.2    8.3   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0     4    96   100   10.4   12.2   11.8    2.8   93.9   90.7    7.7    8.7    9.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0     2    98   100    9.2   10.9    8.5    2.4   94.3   91.8    6.8    7.7    8.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0     2    98   100   12.3   14.5   13.8    3.2   95.3   92.1    9.5   10.5   11.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0     3    97   100    4.3    6.1    8.9    2.7   94.1   91.4    1.7    2.6    3.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0     2    98   100   11.3   13.5   12.1    3.0   96.2   93.2    8.7    9.7   10.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0     3    97   100   11.0   12.9   10.2    2.8   95.5   92.5    8.7    9.5   10.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0     2    98   100   10.8   13.0   11.4    3.0   96.6   94.1    8.4    9.3   10.1   29   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0     2    98   100    9.0   10.5    9.9    2.7   94.2   91.7    6.8    7.6    8.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0     4    96   100   10.3   11.9    9.8    2.5   94.5   91.7    8.1    8.9    9.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0     5    95   100   11.7   13.4   11.4    2.5   94.4   90.0    9.4   10.2   11.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0     2    98   100   12.1   14.7   12.6    3.1   98.2   95.6    9.8   10.7   11.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0     4    96   100   11.7   13.7   10.5    2.6   94.9   91.8    8.9   10.0   10.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0     2    98   100   12.4   14.3   13.4    3.0   94.7   91.1    9.9   10.8   11.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0     5    95   100    9.3   10.8    9.3    2.5   93.7   90.5    7.1    8.0    8.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0     2    98   100   12.2   14.2   13.8    3.1   95.3   92.1    9.6   10.5   11.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0     7    93   100    5.8    7.1    7.3    2.4   92.2   89.0    3.6    4.5    5.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0     5    95   100   11.2   13.1   13.1    2.8   95.0   91.8    8.7    9.6   10.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0     3    97   100   11.6   13.5   13.7    3.0   95.5   91.9    9.1   10.0   10.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0     3    97   100   11.7   13.9   13.8    3.2   96.4   93.2    9.2   10.1   11.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0     4    96   100   11.3   13.0   11.5    2.6   94.5   91.0    8.9    9.8   10.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0     5    95   100   11.7   13.3   12.9    2.9   92.4   88.8    8.9    9.9   10.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0     3    97   100   10.2   11.4    8.7    2.3   91.0   88.6    7.7    8.6    9.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0     4    96   100   12.6   14.4   13.3    2.8   92.1   88.7    9.5   10.6   11.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0     3    97   100   10.1   12.0   11.3    2.8   95.9   92.7    7.8    8.7    9.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0     4    96   100    8.8   10.7    8.5    2.5   93.7   90.5    6.0    7.1    8.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0     3    97   100   12.4   14.4   14.0    3.1   94.7   91.5    9.5   10.6   11.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------