***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 02.05.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 06.05.2013.-12.05.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     0   100   100 9999.0   14.0   14.1    3.6   96.3   94.6 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0     2    98   100   12.3   14.7   13.8    3.3   96.0   94.0    9.4   10.5   11.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0     0   100   100   13.9   16.3   13.8    3.4   96.0   94.4   10.9   12.0   13.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0     3    97   100    9.0   10.6   11.0    2.6   91.7   89.1    5.9    7.0    8.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0     1    99   100   10.4   12.2   11.4    2.7   93.5   91.4    7.7    8.7    9.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0     6    94   100    9.0   10.1    8.7    2.1   89.9   86.7    6.7    7.6    8.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0     2    98   100   12.1   14.2   13.7    3.2   95.2   93.2    9.4   10.4   11.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0     0   100   100    4.3    6.2    9.4    2.8   94.4   92.3    1.5    2.5    3.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0     0   100   100   11.1   13.2   12.1    3.0   96.4   94.5    8.6    9.5   10.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0     0   100   100   11.0   12.8   10.4    2.9   95.8   93.9    8.6    9.5   10.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0     0   100   100   10.8   12.6   10.9    2.7   94.9   92.7    8.3    9.2   10.0   29   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0     0   100   100    9.0   10.3    9.9    2.6   93.1   90.8    6.8    7.6    8.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0     4    96   100   10.2   11.2    9.3    2.1   90.2   87.0    7.9    8.8    9.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0     0   100   100   11.6   13.5   12.1    3.0   96.2   94.7    9.3   10.1   10.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0     4    96   100   12.0   13.2   12.3    2.6   92.5   89.5    9.8   10.6   11.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0     3    97   100   11.6   13.1   10.2    2.3   91.6   88.7    8.8    9.8   10.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0     2    98   100   12.2   14.0   13.3    3.1   95.3   92.8    9.8   10.7   11.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0     0   100   100    9.1   10.8    9.5    2.8   95.8   93.9    7.0    7.7    8.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0     1    99   100   11.9   14.1   13.8    3.4   96.6   94.8    9.4   10.3   11.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0     0   100   100    5.8    7.5    7.4    2.9   95.9   93.9    3.7    4.4    5.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0     0   100   100   11.1   13.0   13.2    3.1   95.3   93.5    8.6    9.5   10.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0     2    98   100   11.4   13.4   13.4    3.1   96.2   94.0    9.1    9.9   10.7   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0     0   100   100   11.5   13.7   13.7    3.5   97.1   95.6    9.1   10.0   10.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0     0   100   100   11.1   12.9   11.8    3.0   96.2   94.6    8.9    9.7   10.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0     1    99   100   11.8   13.8   12.9    3.3   94.9   93.0    9.0   10.0   11.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    11    89   100    9.9   10.5    8.7    1.9   83.8   81.8    7.6    8.5    9.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0     1    99   100   12.6   15.1   13.4    3.4   95.5   93.5    9.3   10.5   11.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0     6    94   100    9.9   10.8   11.2    2.3   89.7   86.6    7.7    8.5    9.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0     0   100   100    8.7   11.3    8.9    2.9   96.9   95.0    5.8    6.9    7.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0     2    98   100   12.2   14.5   14.0    3.4   96.2   94.4    9.4   10.4   11.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------