***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 28.04.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.05.2016.-22.05.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    77    23   100   19.8   18.7   14.8   86.3   56.1   46.5    9.8   16.1   24.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    54    46     0   100    6.2   13.1   13.9   87.2   58.1   45.8    5.9   10.5   16.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00    57    43     0   100    8.5   17.7   15.0   88.3   57.4   45.3    8.7   14.5   22.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    59    41     0   100    8.1   16.3   16.1   83.7   54.7   42.0    8.4   14.3   22.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    62    38     0   100    7.8   17.1   14.9   79.1   52.9   39.0    8.3   15.5   25.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    53    47     0   100    6.9   14.1   18.7   91.5   57.3   47.5    6.6   11.4   17.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    75    25   100   13.0   12.2   13.5   85.6   57.4   45.5    5.4    9.8   15.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    61    39     0   100   12.2   23.1   17.0   87.6   55.9   42.4   13.1   20.4   29.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    61    39     0   100    6.5   13.3   15.8   81.5   54.5   39.9    7.0   11.7   17.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    64    36     0   100    7.9   16.5   18.1   85.2   55.3   41.1    8.9   14.4   21.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    64    36     0   100    5.1   12.6   14.3   86.3   56.3   40.5    5.6   10.4   17.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    58    42     0   100    6.0   12.3   14.9   88.4   56.6   43.1    6.1   10.3   15.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    53    47     0   100    5.9   11.4   16.3   86.4   55.6   44.0    5.7    9.7   15.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100    8.5   21.3   21.7  100.1   62.3   46.9    7.9   14.5   23.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    60    40     0   100    3.9    9.6   14.5   87.0   57.9   43.3    3.9    7.4   12.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    60    40     0   100    7.1   14.9   15.2   86.4   56.4   42.5    7.5   12.6   19.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01    51    49     0   100    5.3    9.9   12.5   77.3   54.3   44.1    4.8    8.8   14.0   29   Palic                         
37000G16    64    36     0   100    8.2   17.5   20.5   87.8   56.2   43.0    9.1   14.9   22.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    57    43     0   100    8.2   19.3   15.2   93.1   60.4   46.8    8.2   14.4   22.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    61    39     0   100    8.3   16.2   19.2   87.5   54.8   42.9    9.1   14.4   21.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    59    41     0   100    7.1   13.1   13.9   73.7   51.0   39.3    7.3   12.6   19.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    59    41     0   100    6.4   13.9   14.8   85.6   58.3   46.9    6.7   11.2   16.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    58    42     0   100    7.0   17.6   17.0  103.2   64.3   48.4    7.3   12.1   18.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    58    42     0   100    8.7   18.3   18.6   90.7   58.4   44.4    9.1   14.9   22.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    53    47     0   100    8.8   15.4   16.2   81.6   53.7   44.2    8.5   14.1   21.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    53    47     0   100    4.9   12.4   15.7   96.8   61.0   46.6    4.5    8.6   14.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    76    24   100   18.4   17.8   16.6   89.3   57.4   47.2    8.3   14.3   22.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    61    39     0   100    5.3   11.6   15.9   87.8   57.3   43.1    5.8    9.5   14.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    61    39     0   100   12.5   23.3   20.7   91.7   57.8   44.4   13.5   20.0   27.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    55    45     0   100    8.0   17.3   14.6   92.5   59.8   47.4    7.9   13.3   20.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------