***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 27.04.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 15.05.2017.-21.05.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    76    24   100   24.2   24.8   22.8    1.0   63.4   56.2   21.6   23.4   25.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100   24.7   25.4   22.7    1.1   64.5   57.2   22.2   23.9   25.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100   24.6   25.4   23.1    1.1   64.0   56.7   22.2   24.0   25.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    76    24   100   17.4   18.1   20.6    1.1   64.5   56.3   14.9   16.6   18.3   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    78    22   100   24.9   25.6   21.2    1.1   64.0   56.6   22.4   24.2   25.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    54    46     0   100   20.8   24.1   19.2    1.3   66.6   58.8   21.1   22.6   24.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100   24.3   25.0   22.7    1.0   63.8   56.9   22.0   23.6   25.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100   12.8   13.7   19.7    1.3   66.8   59.2   10.5   12.1   13.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100   24.3   25.0   21.5    1.1   64.2   56.9   21.9   23.6   25.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    77    23   100   24.2   25.0   20.4    1.2   65.4   58.0   21.8   23.5   25.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100   24.5   25.4   21.0    1.3   66.2   58.4   22.1   23.8   25.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    51    49     0   100   21.0   24.4   20.7    1.4   68.0   59.7   21.2   22.8   24.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    53    47     0   100   22.1   25.6   19.9    1.3   67.1   59.3   22.4   24.0   25.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    51    49     0   100   21.7   25.0   21.1    0.9   61.7   56.2   22.0   23.8   25.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    76    24   100   24.9   25.8   21.5    1.1   66.5   56.9   22.8   24.3   25.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    52    48     0   100   22.4   26.0   20.6    1.3   67.0   59.0   22.7   24.4   25.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    76    24   100   24.0   24.5   22.5    0.9   62.8   56.6   21.7   23.3   24.9   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    75    25   100   23.7   24.4   19.9    1.2   64.8   58.0   21.3   23.0   24.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   24.1   24.9   22.9    1.1   64.9   57.5   21.7   23.4   25.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100   18.8   19.6   17.5    1.3   66.1   59.0   16.5   18.1   19.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100   24.5   25.1   22.3    1.0   62.8   55.9   22.1   23.8   25.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   24.5   25.0   22.3    0.9   62.0   56.1   22.0   23.8   25.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    78    22   100   24.5   25.3   22.8    1.1   64.7   57.5   22.0   23.8   25.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    76    24   100   24.0   24.6   21.2    1.0   63.2   56.9   21.5   23.3   24.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    76    24   100   24.5   25.0   21.1    0.9   62.3   55.4   22.1   23.8   25.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    30    70   100   25.1   25.6   20.4    2.0   75.8   64.2   21.7   23.2   24.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    51    49     0   100   21.8   25.0   22.0    1.0   63.0   56.0   22.0   23.7   25.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    51    49     0   100   22.3   25.6   20.9    1.1   65.6   57.1   22.6   24.2   25.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100   16.0   19.5   19.0    1.2   64.4   57.9   16.3   18.0   19.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100   24.5   25.2   22.8    1.0   64.0   56.7   22.1   23.8   25.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------