***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 27.04.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 01.05.2017.-07.05.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    69    31     0   100    8.5    8.4    9.3   -1.7   23.3   26.2    9.1   10.1   11.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    75    25     0   100    8.1    7.8    8.8   -1.9   19.1   22.3    8.8    9.8   10.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00    77    23     0   100   10.0    9.8    9.1   -1.9   19.3   22.1   10.7   11.6   12.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    80    20   100    6.7    5.4    7.4   -0.9   34.2   36.5    5.3    6.3    7.3   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    60    40     0   100    6.8    6.7    7.8   -1.4   26.4   29.3    7.1    8.2    9.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    84    16   100    7.1    6.6    6.0   -0.3   44.7   46.2    6.0    6.9    7.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    69    31     0   100    8.4    8.1    8.9   -1.8   20.3   23.7    8.9    9.8   10.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    62    38     0   100    0.9    0.8    5.0   -1.3   25.7   28.3    1.2    2.1    3.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    65    35     0   100    7.6    7.5    7.7   -1.4   24.2   27.3    8.0    8.9    9.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    68    32     0   100    7.8    7.7    6.0   -1.4   23.7   26.7    8.2    9.0    9.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    52    48     0   100    7.6    7.5    7.4   -1.0   30.2   32.9    7.7    8.5    9.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    54    46     0   100    6.0    6.0    6.2   -1.1   28.5   31.0    6.2    7.0    7.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100    8.4    7.2    6.6   -0.8   33.5   35.9    7.2    8.0    8.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    83    17     0   100    8.3    8.2    7.0   -1.8   17.9   20.7    8.9    9.7   10.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100   10.2    9.5    9.1   -0.4   41.7   43.8    9.0    9.9   10.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100    9.8    8.6    7.1   -0.8   33.9   36.1    8.5    9.5   10.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01    69    31     0   100    8.9    8.6    8.7   -1.8   20.2   23.8    9.3   10.1   10.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16    72    28     0   100    5.6    5.5    5.2   -1.6   21.8   24.6    6.0    6.7    7.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    79    21     0   100    8.3    8.2    8.8   -1.9   19.0   22.0    9.0    9.8   10.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    74    26     0   100    2.6    2.6    3.6   -1.5   23.5   25.9    3.1    3.9    4.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    72    28     0   100    7.5    7.3    8.7   -1.6   22.1   25.1    8.0    9.0    9.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    72    28     0   100    8.1    7.8    8.7   -1.8   18.9   22.3    8.6    9.3   10.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    82    18     0   100    8.1    8.0    8.7   -1.8   19.4   22.1    8.8    9.5   10.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    78    22     0   100    7.9    7.7    7.1   -1.7   19.2   22.1    8.4    9.1    9.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    61    39     0   100    8.3    8.2    8.7   -1.6   26.0   29.1    8.7    9.6   10.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    81    19   100    8.2    7.3    5.9   -0.7   36.3   38.1    7.1    7.9    8.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    66    34     0   100    8.2    8.0    9.0   -1.8   23.7   26.7    8.8   10.2   11.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    81    19   100    8.1    7.2    8.0   -0.6   38.8   40.7    6.9    7.8    8.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    75    25     0   100    4.8    4.7    4.4   -1.6   20.6   23.5    5.5    6.5    7.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    75    25     0   100    8.2    8.0    9.0   -1.9   19.7   22.8    8.9    9.9   10.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------