***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 25.04.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 13.05.2019.-19.05.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    56    44     0   100    4.8   13.2   15.9   95.3   62.0   48.2    4.6    8.9   14.9   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    52    48     0   100    4.3    8.4   12.8   76.4   53.8   43.2    3.9    7.4   12.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00    53    47     0   100    5.8   13.7   15.2   90.3   59.7   48.0    5.3   10.1   16.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    51    49     0   100    6.1   14.0   18.3   92.1   59.6   48.6    5.5   10.4   17.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    51    49     0   100    4.5   11.1   17.3   91.2   59.3   48.5    3.9    7.9   14.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    55    45     0   100    5.9   10.2   18.6   79.7   52.7   43.0    6.0    9.4   13.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    58    42     0   100    3.8    7.7   12.3   73.8   51.8   41.2    3.6    7.3   12.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    51    49     0   100   11.6   20.1   18.7   88.4   57.4   47.7   11.4   17.1   24.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    75    25   100   11.3   11.2   18.1   90.9   59.3   48.4    4.4    8.4   13.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100    7.7   15.5   20.1   88.7   57.9   48.0    7.4   12.5   19.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    52    48     0   100    4.3   10.0   16.0   89.7   58.6   47.6    3.8    7.4   12.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    52    48     0   100    4.3    8.6   15.8   85.7   56.6   46.3    4.1    7.2   11.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100    8.7    7.2   17.3   79.7   53.4   43.9    3.5    6.5   10.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    78    22   100   14.3   12.8   18.9   82.3   55.8   47.5    4.9   10.4   18.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    52    48     0   100    2.5    6.2   17.1   89.8   60.2   47.8    2.2    4.4    7.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100   11.9   11.3   16.9   85.7   56.6   46.4    5.6    9.5   14.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01    56    44     0   100    4.5    7.8   11.8   69.1   50.2   40.1    4.4    7.8   12.4   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100   15.7   15.8   22.4   91.1   58.9   50.4    6.9   12.2   19.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    51    49     0   100    4.7    9.3   13.3   78.9   55.0   44.5    4.2    7.9   13.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    78    22   100   15.1   14.9   21.6   91.0   58.0   50.6    6.0   11.5   19.1   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    52    48     0   100    3.7    9.9   17.2   96.8   62.0   49.9    3.2    6.5   11.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100   13.6   10.5   12.2   67.6   50.0   41.4    5.8   10.5   16.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    52    48     0   100    4.9    9.9   13.9   81.7   56.1   45.8    4.4    8.2   13.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    76    24   100   14.1   14.1   19.5   89.3   58.9   49.6    6.1   10.8   17.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    51    49     0   100    4.3   11.0   17.8   92.7   60.5   49.5    3.6    7.6   13.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    75    25   100   10.0    8.8   16.7   82.2   55.2   45.3    4.1    7.4   12.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    52    48     0   100    5.8   13.0   16.5   90.1   59.8   47.8    5.3    9.7   15.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    75    25   100    8.8    9.0   18.1   91.0   59.7   48.5    3.8    6.8   10.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   18.3   18.8   22.3   92.1   58.8   50.8    9.6   15.2   22.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    53    47     0   100    4.7    9.9   13.6   81.5   56.0   44.6    4.4    8.1   13.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------