***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 21.04.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 25.04.2016.-22.05.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    81    19   100   50.8   55.5   64.7  107.1   62.0   56.2   33.6   45.5   59.3   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    82    18   100   42.1   42.8   57.1  100.2   57.5   53.5   27.4   37.7   49.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    79    21   100   51.7   53.2   60.9  102.3   58.9   54.1   34.5   46.2   59.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    82    18   100   66.9   68.8   67.0  101.1   58.2   54.0   47.8   61.6   76.3   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    80    20   100   57.0   60.9   66.7  105.4   61.0   56.4   38.1   50.9   66.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    80    20   100   57.5   56.5   71.6   98.3   55.2   50.8   42.7   53.1   64.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    82    18   100   43.3   44.2   58.8  100.3   57.4   53.6   27.1   38.5   51.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    79    21   100   92.8   91.5   71.8   98.4   55.8   52.4   70.1   85.8  102.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   51.2   54.1   69.4  105.4   61.0   56.3   35.2   46.1   58.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    79    21   100   60.7   61.8   77.5  102.0   58.3   54.2   42.7   55.1   68.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    80    20   100   48.1   49.1   63.9  101.1   58.1   54.1   33.9   43.7   54.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    79    21   100   52.9   52.1   62.2   97.5   55.6   51.8   39.1   48.6   59.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    80    20   100   46.5   45.3   66.8   96.0   54.6   49.9   34.1   42.8   52.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    80    20   100   64.3   66.9   79.6  103.3   59.5   54.4   43.5   57.9   73.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    80    20   100   43.2   42.4   58.9   96.3   55.4   50.8   30.6   39.3   48.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100   50.4   50.0   63.3   98.4   56.5   51.8   37.0   46.2   56.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100   46.5   45.9   57.2  100.6   57.4   53.0   27.3   39.9   54.3   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    79    21   100   65.8   67.4   83.5  102.9   58.8   54.1   46.4   59.6   74.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    80    20   100   56.1   57.1   58.0  100.7   57.9   53.6   37.0   50.1   64.9   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    81    19   100   59.2   64.6   85.9  107.5   62.2   57.5   41.1   53.8   68.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    81    19   100   48.1   51.9   65.2  105.9   61.4   56.1   32.5   43.4   55.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   48.0   48.6   59.5  102.2   58.6   53.8   31.5   42.4   54.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    78    22   100   49.5   50.0   60.6  101.1   58.2   53.4   31.6   43.4   57.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100   60.9   61.2   72.7  100.5   57.4   52.8   42.2   55.0   69.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    80    20   100   54.6   57.9   72.5  105.3   60.8   55.7   37.0   49.1   62.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    80    20   100   46.3   41.8   59.3   89.8   50.1   47.3   31.8   41.8   52.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    81    19   100   53.8   57.6   70.6  105.1   60.6   55.6   36.2   48.5   62.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    81    19   100   46.5   46.7   62.7   98.6   56.7   51.8   33.8   42.8   52.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   81.6   84.6   84.5  105.4   60.7   55.6   64.2   76.4   89.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    82    18   100   47.5   49.3   59.1  101.4   58.3   54.5   29.6   42.1   57.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------