***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 21.04.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 25.04.2016.-22.05.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    82    18     0   100   20.6   20.3   19.4   -1.6   17.1   21.6   21.4   22.5   23.4   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    78    22     0   100   20.7   20.4   19.3   -1.6   18.7   23.1   21.5   22.5   23.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00    81    19     0   100   20.8   20.4   19.5   -1.7   16.8   21.6   21.6   22.6   23.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    76    24     0   100   13.6   13.4   17.1   -1.4   19.8   24.5   14.3   15.2   16.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    78    22     0   100   21.1   20.8   17.9   -1.5   18.4   23.3   21.8   22.7   23.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    76    24     0   100   19.6   19.6   15.9   -1.3   23.1   28.1   20.2   21.0   21.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    79    21     0   100   20.4   20.2   19.4   -1.5   19.7   23.9   21.2   22.2   23.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    72    28     0   100    8.9    8.7   16.1   -1.4   21.2   26.5    9.4   10.4   11.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    78    22     0   100   20.5   20.2   18.4   -1.6   18.2   23.3   21.2   22.1   23.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    75    25     0   100   20.6   20.4   16.9   -1.5   19.2   24.6   21.2   22.0   22.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    76    24     0   100   20.7   20.5   17.9   -1.4   20.2   25.3   21.3   22.2   23.0   29   Krusevac                      
38200G21    74    26     0   100   20.0   19.9   17.1   -1.3   22.4   27.5   20.5   21.3   22.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    74    26     0   100   20.9   20.8   17.0   -1.4   21.8   27.0   21.5   22.3   23.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    80    20     0   100   20.7   20.2   17.9   -1.8   16.0   21.3   21.4   22.4   23.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    75    25     0   100   21.0   20.9   18.7   -1.3   21.3   25.6   21.6   22.5   23.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    77    23     0   100   21.3   21.2   17.4   -1.4   21.2   26.2   21.9   22.8   23.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01    77    23     0   100   20.0   19.8   19.1   -1.6   19.8   24.0   20.8   21.8   22.8   29   Palic                         
37000G16    75    25     0   100   20.1   19.8   16.2   -1.7   18.1   23.5   20.7   21.6   22.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    79    21     0   100   20.3   20.0   19.3   -1.7   17.8   22.4   21.1   22.1   23.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    72    28     0   100   15.1   14.9   13.9   -1.6   19.6   25.0   15.7   16.6   17.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    80    20     0   100   20.6   20.3   19.2   -1.7   16.9   21.8   21.4   22.3   23.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    82    18     0   100   20.4   20.2   19.0   -1.7   18.2   22.8   21.3   22.4   23.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    78    22     0   100   20.6   20.3   19.3   -1.7   17.2   22.2   21.4   22.4   23.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    78    22     0   100   20.4   20.0   17.9   -1.8   16.7   22.0   21.0   21.9   22.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    84    16     0   100   20.5   20.2   18.0   -1.7   15.8   20.6   21.4   22.3   23.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    70    30     0   100   20.2   20.4   16.5   -1.0   27.8   32.3   20.7   21.6   22.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    85    15     0   100   20.5   20.2   18.7   -1.6   16.3   21.0   21.3   22.2   23.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    75    25     0   100   21.0   21.0   17.8   -1.3   22.1   26.6   21.6   22.5   23.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    75    25     0   100   15.0   14.7   15.3   -1.7   17.9   23.2   15.6   16.5   17.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    79    21     0   100   20.5   20.2   19.4   -1.6   18.5   22.9   21.3   22.3   23.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------