***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 19.04.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 23.04.2018.-20.05.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    58    42     0   100   34.2   42.2   54.4   85.7   44.5   41.5   36.0   45.5   55.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    54    46     0   100   24.7   34.6   51.8   90.3   49.1   45.6   25.1   35.2   46.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00    61    39     0   100   31.8   42.0   53.2   86.4   45.6   43.0   34.2   44.9   56.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    60    40     0   100   42.5   51.6   60.0   83.3   41.4   40.0   45.2   58.2   72.3   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    61    39     0   100   32.6   40.9   57.2   83.9   42.0   40.9   35.0   46.0   58.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    58    42     0   100   37.1   44.7   70.0   87.7   42.0   41.6   39.1   50.0   62.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    57    43     0   100   25.6   38.6   54.4   94.1   51.9   47.4   26.8   37.3   49.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    57    43     0   100   66.9   77.5   66.2   87.3   42.4   42.1   69.6   84.3   99.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    58    42     0   100   33.0   40.4   58.5   84.1   42.7   41.0   34.6   44.8   55.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    57    43     0   100   38.9   47.1   67.6   85.7   42.0   41.5   40.7   52.7   66.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    58    42     0   100   32.1   38.5   57.2   84.4   41.8   41.2   33.9   43.2   53.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    55    45     0   100   36.6   42.1   57.3   84.9   41.1   40.9   37.8   46.8   56.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    57    43     0   100   31.6   36.2   62.0   83.1   39.2   39.7   33.1   41.8   51.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    58    42     0   100   40.1   49.2   67.2   84.1   41.3   40.6   42.2   56.8   73.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    63    37     0   100   24.7   32.8   54.6   82.6   43.1   39.4   27.1   36.8   48.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    55    45     0   100   34.2   39.4   59.0   83.8   40.5   40.4   35.4   44.5   54.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01    52    48     0   100   27.9   43.6   53.7   96.8   54.4   49.6   28.0   40.0   54.0   29   Palic                         
37000G16    53    47     0   100   42.6   51.3   73.7   87.2   43.3   42.4   43.4   57.0   72.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    58    42     0   100   33.6   44.7   50.9   87.5   46.6   43.8   35.5   47.0   60.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    59    41     0   100   37.3   48.8   77.3   90.9   45.5   44.1   39.6   52.3   66.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    61    39     0   100   28.5   36.6   55.9   85.0   43.8   41.6   30.7   40.3   51.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    52    48     0   100   29.2   40.5   52.9   92.6   50.6   47.6   29.6   40.2   52.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    63    37     0   100   28.1   37.4   51.3   84.4   43.8   41.7   30.7   41.5   53.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    57    43     0   100   38.8   48.7   64.5   86.1   43.7   42.1   40.5   53.9   68.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    57    43     0   100   33.8   41.4   61.1   84.4   42.5   39.8   35.3   46.2   58.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    53    47     0   100   29.9   33.0   56.2   81.3   37.7   38.3   30.5   40.0   50.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    57    43     0   100   35.9   45.3   59.7   87.2   45.3   41.7   37.7   48.3   60.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    61    39     0   100   27.8   34.6   58.0   82.4   41.2   39.4   30.0   39.9   51.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    54    46     0   100   59.3   68.9   74.6   87.8   43.2   42.5   60.8   74.3   88.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    57    43     0   100   24.8   35.4   51.3   88.0   47.2   44.3   25.8   37.7   51.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------