***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.04.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.04.2018.-13.05.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    84    16   100   21.0   21.9   19.8    1.0   69.3   64.7   19.8   20.8   21.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    82    18   100   21.0   21.7   19.5    0.8   66.8   62.7   19.6   20.6   21.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    83    17   100   21.0   21.6   19.8    0.8   66.3   62.7   19.7   20.7   21.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    82    18   100   13.6   14.1   17.1    0.7   63.8   60.8   12.5   13.3   14.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    82    18   100   21.1   21.5   18.1    0.7   64.1   61.3   19.9   20.8   21.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    83    17   100   19.4   19.7   15.8    0.6   60.9   59.3   18.3   19.2   20.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    83    17   100   20.6   21.3   19.5    0.8   67.4   63.0   19.3   20.3   21.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    81    19   100    8.6    8.9   16.1    0.6   60.9   59.1    7.4    8.3    9.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    42    58   100   21.2   21.0   18.7    0.8   65.0   62.2   19.3   20.2   21.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    80    20   100   20.5   20.8   17.1    0.7   62.4   60.2   19.3   20.2   21.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    80    20   100   20.6   20.9   18.0    0.7   62.3   60.0   19.4   20.3   21.1   29   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    82    18   100   19.7   20.0   17.1    0.7   62.2   59.9   18.6   19.5   20.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    81    19   100   20.7   21.0   17.0    0.7   62.1   60.0   19.5   20.4   21.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    78    22   100   20.9   21.3   18.3    0.6   62.4   59.7   19.6   20.5   21.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    81    19   100   20.8   21.3   18.5    0.8   65.6   62.2   19.6   20.5   21.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    81    19   100   21.2   21.5   17.4    0.6   61.9   59.7   20.0   20.9   21.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    43    57   100   20.9   21.0   19.3    0.8   68.1   63.3   18.9   19.9   20.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    79    21   100   20.1   20.3   16.5    0.6   61.4   59.4   18.9   19.7   20.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    82    18   100   20.6   21.4   19.7    0.9   67.7   63.5   19.3   20.3   21.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    81    19   100   15.0   15.3   14.1    0.7   61.5   59.6   13.8   14.7   15.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    83    17   100   20.8   21.3   19.5    0.8   65.2   62.0   19.5   20.5   21.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    41    59   100   21.7   21.7   19.2    0.8   67.3   62.8   19.5   20.6   21.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    44    56   100   21.6   21.8   19.8    1.0   69.7   65.1   19.6   20.6   21.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    80    20   100   20.5   20.8   18.3    0.7   62.8   60.3   19.2   20.2   21.0   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    84    16   100   20.7   21.5   18.4    0.9   68.4   64.1   19.6   20.5   21.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    82    18   100   19.9   20.4   16.3    0.9   66.3   63.4   18.8   19.6   20.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    84    16   100   20.6   21.4   19.2    1.0   70.4   65.5   19.4   20.3   21.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    81    19   100   20.8   21.1   17.5    0.6   61.6   59.2   19.7   20.5   21.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   15.0   15.3   15.7    0.6   61.2   59.3   13.7   14.7   15.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    83    17   100   20.7   21.5   19.6    0.8   67.3   63.2   19.3   20.4   21.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------