***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 11.04.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 22.04.2019.-28.04.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    36    64   100    9.2    9.5    9.5    1.6   73.0   67.5    7.1    8.1    9.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    42    58   100    9.0    9.5    9.4    1.6   74.1   68.6    6.3    7.6    8.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    42    58   100   10.7   11.1    9.5    1.4   72.0   66.5    8.3    9.5   10.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    80    20   100    4.6    5.3    6.3    0.9   64.8   61.0    2.8    4.2    5.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100    6.5    7.1    6.9    1.0   65.7   61.6    5.1    6.1    7.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    79    21   100    5.5    6.0    4.4    0.9   65.1   61.4    4.3    5.2    6.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    35    65   100    9.1    9.7    9.6    1.8   77.1   71.1    6.6    7.8    8.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    81    19   100    0.4    0.8    4.3    0.7   62.2   59.2   -1.1    0.0    1.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100    7.2    7.7    7.0    0.9   65.4   61.5    5.8    6.8    7.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    80    20   100    7.3    7.7    5.3    0.8   63.6   60.1    6.1    7.0    7.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    81    19   100    6.8    7.2    6.2    0.8   63.7   60.0    5.5    6.5    7.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100    5.3    5.7    5.3    0.9   64.2   60.5    4.2    5.1    5.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    80    20   100    6.5    7.0    5.2    0.9   65.8   62.0    5.4    6.2    7.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    81    19   100    7.9    8.4    6.9    0.9   65.2   61.5    6.6    7.6    8.5   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100    7.9    8.3    7.4    0.7   63.3   60.0    6.6    7.6    8.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    81    19   100    7.9    8.4    5.8    0.9   65.5   61.6    6.5    7.5    8.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    41    59   100    9.1    9.6    9.3    1.7   75.0   69.4    6.8    7.9    9.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    81    19   100    5.3    5.8    4.8    0.9   64.5   60.5    4.2    5.0    5.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    43    57   100    8.8    9.3    9.2    1.5   73.0   67.8    6.5    7.6    8.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100    2.3    2.7    2.9    1.0   64.4   60.8    1.2    2.0    2.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    80    20   100    7.3    8.0    8.4    1.0   67.0   62.6    5.8    6.9    7.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    43    57   100    8.2    8.6    9.0    1.5   73.1   68.3    6.1    7.1    8.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    42    58   100    8.4    8.7    8.9    1.3   71.6   66.8    6.2    7.3    8.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    80    20   100    7.2    7.7    6.8    0.9   65.5   61.5    6.0    6.9    7.7   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    42    58   100    8.5    8.6    8.3    1.3   69.0   64.6    6.1    7.3    8.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    78    22   100    6.5    6.9    4.6    0.9   65.4   61.3    5.4    6.2    7.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    38    62   100    9.5   10.0    9.1    1.6   73.4   67.7    6.3    7.8    9.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    79    21   100    6.1    6.4    6.5    0.8   62.9   59.6    4.7    5.7    6.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    80    20   100    4.9    5.4    4.0    0.9   63.8   60.4    3.3    4.5    5.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    41    59   100    9.3    9.8    9.5    1.6   74.1   68.6    6.6    7.9    9.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------