***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 08.04.2021. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 19.04.2021.-25.04.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    76    24   100   14.3   17.5   16.8  112.7   67.2   54.8    7.1   11.5   17.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100    9.3   11.8   15.6  109.7   66.5   55.6    3.6    6.8   11.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100   13.2   16.0   16.3  107.7   65.5   55.0    6.0   10.5   16.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100   17.0   20.6   20.7  114.0   67.7   57.5    9.6   14.3   20.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   12.5   16.0   19.5  112.3   67.0   57.1    5.7   10.0   15.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100   12.5   15.5   21.6  115.3   67.4   57.3    6.1   10.0   15.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    52    48     0   100    4.6   11.5   15.5  109.3   66.3   55.5    4.3    7.4   11.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    40    60   100   26.2   26.6   22.5  120.8   69.6   61.1   11.6   17.4   24.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   12.1   15.2   19.1  110.4   66.3   56.6    5.4    9.7   15.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    80    20   100   13.7   18.8   22.6  117.3   68.5   60.1    5.8   10.8   17.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    77    23   100   13.2   18.1   20.9  120.5   69.6   59.5    5.8   10.3   16.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    38    62   100   17.3   17.1   20.1  120.8   69.7   59.9    5.6    9.9   15.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100   15.4   19.5   20.8  117.1   68.3   58.1    7.4   12.3   18.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    78    22   100   13.8   16.2   21.6  106.4   64.4   54.0    6.3   10.9   17.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    75    25   100   11.3   14.3   19.1  114.1   68.1   56.5    5.0    8.7   13.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    75    25   100   13.3   16.7   20.5  117.0   68.3   57.8    6.5   10.6   15.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100   10.7   13.6   15.2  107.9   66.0   54.9    4.1    8.0   13.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    40    60   100   19.8   18.3   22.8  112.5   66.5   58.7    6.6   11.6   18.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   11.7   14.7   16.0  110.5   66.7   55.6    4.7    8.8   14.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    40    60   100   17.6   15.5   23.2  109.4   64.6   57.8    6.0   10.3   16.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100   11.2   13.3   17.5  107.9   65.5   55.6    6.1    9.5   13.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100    8.5   11.6   16.6  114.0   67.8   56.4    3.1    6.3   10.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   10.2   12.0   16.4  105.6   64.8   53.5    4.2    7.8   12.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100   14.3   17.4   20.1  107.3   64.6   55.7    5.9   11.0   18.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    78    22   100   11.9   15.4   19.8  114.1   67.4   55.3    5.1    9.2   14.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100   10.9   15.3   20.1  120.8   69.6   59.1    4.3    8.2   13.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    77    23   100   12.7   16.6   18.7  114.7   67.7   55.4    5.5    9.8   15.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100   10.5   13.5   20.0  113.8   67.8   57.1    4.7    8.2   12.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   17.8   21.2   23.0  109.5   64.9   57.6    9.1   14.7   21.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    51    49     0   100    5.6   13.1   15.6  108.0   65.8   55.2    5.3    8.7   13.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------