***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 05.04.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 09.04.2018.-15.04.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     7    93   100   18.2   20.7   19.6    4.0   93.4   91.0   14.6   16.0   17.3   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0     3    97   100   18.5   21.6   19.6    4.2   95.1   93.2   14.5   16.0   17.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0     4    96   100   18.6   21.3   20.1    4.4   94.4   92.2   14.8   16.2   17.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    13    87   100   11.7   12.9   15.9    3.1   84.6   81.0    7.9    9.4   10.8   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0     7    93   100   19.2   21.2   18.3    4.2   91.6   88.2   15.5   16.9   18.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0     5    95   100   18.6   21.3   17.4    5.2   93.9   90.9   14.7   16.2   17.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0     2    98   100   18.3   21.5   19.7    4.3   96.0   94.2   14.5   15.9   17.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0     3    97   100    7.2   10.0   17.1    5.0   95.0   92.4    3.3    4.8    6.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0     6    94   100   18.6   21.0   19.3    4.4   93.2   90.1   15.0   16.4   17.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0     5    95   100   18.8   21.4   18.1    4.9   94.3   91.4   15.1   16.5   17.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0     6    94   100   19.2   21.8   19.2    4.8   93.9   90.8   15.4   16.8   18.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0     4    96   100   18.5   21.6   18.0    4.9   95.3   92.8   14.5   16.0   17.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0     0   100   100   19.7   22.9   19.2    5.3   96.0   94.0   15.6   17.1   18.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0     1    99   100   18.6   21.7   19.6    4.9   95.4   93.3   14.5   16.0   17.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    13    87   100   18.6   19.7   18.2    3.0   85.2   81.7   15.6   16.8   17.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0     5    95   100   19.7   22.5   18.7    4.9   94.6   91.6   15.8   17.2   18.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0     3    97   100   17.8   20.9   19.3    4.3   95.8   94.0   14.0   15.4   16.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0     2    98   100   18.3   21.1   17.4    5.0   94.5   92.1   14.4   15.8   17.2   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0     2    98   100   18.4   21.5   19.8    4.3   95.3   93.4   14.3   15.8   17.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0     0   100   100   13.7   16.9   15.3    5.1   95.7   93.6    9.6   11.1   12.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0     7    93   100   18.6   21.1   20.1    4.4   93.5   90.5   15.1   16.4   17.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0     1    99   100   18.5   21.8   19.5    4.4   95.8   94.0   14.4   15.9   17.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0     1    99   100   18.6   21.9   20.2    4.7   95.9   94.0   14.6   16.1   17.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0     2    98   100   18.4   21.2   19.4    4.9   94.8   92.5   14.5   16.0   17.3   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0     8    92   100   18.5   20.4   18.6    4.0   91.8   88.9   15.2   16.5   17.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0     0   100   100   18.9   21.9   17.1    5.0   95.6   93.6   15.0   16.4   17.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0     5    95   100   18.6   21.1   19.3    4.2   94.1   91.8   15.0   16.4   17.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    15    85   100   18.9   20.0   17.0    3.2   84.8   81.2   15.6   16.9   18.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0     0   100   100   13.3   16.5   16.8    5.1   95.4   93.1    9.2   10.7   12.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0     3    97   100   18.4   21.3   19.7    4.2   95.1   93.2   14.5   15.9   17.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------