***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 02.04.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 27.04.2020.-03.05.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    41    59   100   23.0   23.3   20.4    1.9   70.9   65.2   20.5   21.7   22.9   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    40    60   100   23.0   23.4   20.4    2.0   72.4   66.7   19.9   21.4   22.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    40    60   100   22.9   23.2   20.7    1.9   70.8   65.4   20.0   21.4   22.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100   14.7   15.6   17.9    1.4   65.9   61.1   12.4   14.0   15.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100   22.1   22.7   18.4    1.3   64.2   60.1   20.0   21.5   22.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100   20.3   20.6   16.1    1.0   60.6   56.8   18.1   19.6   21.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    41    59   100   22.5   22.9   20.2    1.9   71.4   65.9   19.6   21.0   22.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100    9.5    9.9   16.7    1.1   61.4   58.1    7.2    8.8   10.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100   21.6   22.3   18.9    1.5   66.0   61.5   19.5   21.0   22.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    77    23   100   21.4   22.0   17.6    1.4   64.2   60.1   19.4   20.9   22.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    77    23   100   21.6   22.1   18.2    1.1   62.2   58.5   19.5   21.0   22.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    77    23   100   20.7   21.0   17.7    1.0   60.5   57.4   18.6   20.1   21.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    75    25   100   21.6   21.8   16.8    0.9   59.4   56.5   19.3   20.9   22.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    40    60   100   22.8   22.9   18.9    1.8   69.2   64.7   19.7   21.2   22.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    80    20   100   21.7   22.8   19.0    1.6   68.7   62.8   19.8   21.2   22.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100   22.1   22.5   17.6    1.1   61.4   57.7   19.9   21.4   22.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    38    62   100   22.2   22.6   20.1    2.0   71.9   66.5   19.2   20.6   22.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    39    61   100   22.0   21.7   17.2    1.5   65.3   61.2   18.8   20.3   21.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    40    60   100   22.6   23.0   20.5    2.0   72.2   66.7   19.5   21.0   22.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100   15.8   16.3   14.4    1.2   62.3   59.3   13.7   15.2   16.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100   21.8   22.8   19.8    1.6   67.4   62.6   19.8   21.3   22.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    34    66   100   23.0   23.3   20.1    2.1   72.8   67.6   19.7   21.2   22.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    40    60   100   22.9   23.2   20.6    2.0   71.4   66.2   19.8   21.3   22.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    38    62   100   22.3   22.3   18.8    1.8   68.6   63.8   19.4   20.8   22.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    78    22   100   21.7   22.7   18.6    1.6   68.3   63.2   19.8   21.2   22.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    75    25   100   20.7   20.8   16.7    0.9   59.0   56.4   18.5   20.0   21.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    40    60   100   22.5   22.7   19.6    1.8   70.4   64.8   19.8   21.1   22.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    79    21   100   21.8   22.7   18.2    1.4   65.7   60.6   19.7   21.3   22.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   15.8   16.5   16.2    1.4   63.9   60.4   13.7   15.2   16.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    40    60   100   22.7   23.1   20.4    2.0   72.1   66.4   19.7   21.1   22.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------