***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 29.03.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 09.04.2018.-15.04.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    54    46     0   100    5.9   13.7   14.1   96.6   60.1   49.0    5.5   10.1   16.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100   12.0   14.1   13.5  106.3   64.4   54.0    5.2    9.3   14.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    75    25   100   13.9   15.0   14.6  102.5   62.3   49.8    6.3   10.8   16.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    51    49     0   100   13.1   25.1   17.1  107.2   64.8   51.7   13.0   18.9   25.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    55    45     0   100    9.3   18.4   15.2   97.6   60.5   48.3    9.4   14.5   20.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100   16.1   17.7   17.1  103.5   62.4   52.7    8.5   13.3   19.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    78    22   100   11.3   11.9   12.6   97.1   60.2   51.0    5.1    8.9   14.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100   25.0   28.3   17.9  109.5   65.3   54.6   15.7   21.8   28.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    51    49     0   100    7.1   16.7   17.0  109.4   65.5   51.9    6.7   11.2   16.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    51    49     0   100    9.9   21.7   18.7  112.3   66.6   53.7    9.7   14.9   21.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    8.7   18.5   16.5  102.9   62.0   50.4    8.6   13.8   20.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100   15.5   19.0   16.7  110.8   65.7   55.8    7.5   12.5   19.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100   16.8   19.8   18.1  107.9   64.4   55.2    8.2   13.7   20.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    52    48     0   100    9.1   21.0   19.8  109.9   65.3   52.3    8.7   14.4   21.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    76    24   100   13.3   18.7   17.9  122.5   70.4   56.5    5.4   10.1   16.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100   16.6   18.2   16.7  103.9   62.6   52.3    8.3   13.4   19.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100   10.4   12.5   13.3  106.4   64.4   53.1    3.7    7.6   13.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100   16.3   18.9   20.6  113.1   66.4   54.0    9.6   13.8   18.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100   13.8   16.6   13.9  107.1   64.7   53.3    5.6   10.4   17.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100   14.5   15.6   20.9  105.8   62.0   52.7    7.9   12.0   17.1   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    52    48     0   100    7.4   16.2   16.3  108.0   64.8   52.4    7.2   11.4   16.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100   12.2   14.8   14.5  108.9   65.3   53.2    4.5    8.9   15.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   14.0   16.4   15.1  107.4   64.6   51.1    6.2   10.8   17.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    76    24   100   14.4   16.8   18.5  108.6   64.9   51.2    7.0   11.5   17.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    56    44     0   100    7.5   14.2   15.1   89.3   56.3   45.8    7.6   12.2   17.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    79    21   100   15.7   17.9   16.9  106.2   63.7   55.5    8.7   13.3   18.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    55    45     0   100    7.2   15.2   14.7   92.1   57.9   47.4    7.1   12.3   19.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    75    25   100   16.1   20.0   17.1  114.8   67.6   54.2    7.6   12.7   19.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   22.7   25.6   21.1  108.0   63.9   53.0   12.8   19.1   26.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100   11.0   11.9   13.3  100.7   61.8   51.2    4.5    8.4   13.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------