***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 26.03.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 20.04.2015.-26.04.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    58    42     0   100    6.4   20.4   11.2  133.5   73.7   52.2    6.5   10.9   16.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    56    44     0   100    3.9   12.3   10.2  110.9   66.9   48.0    3.7    7.1   12.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00    59    41     0   100    4.8   19.4   11.4  133.2   73.6   53.4    4.8    9.2   15.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    55    45     0   100    7.8   21.8   15.6  138.9   75.1   56.4    8.0   12.3   17.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    52    48     0   100    4.9   18.3   15.3  144.5   76.3   56.4    4.5    8.2   13.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100   10.9   13.9   18.2  113.2   67.3   54.0    5.1    8.7   13.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    60    40     0   100    4.0   11.6   10.4  107.0   65.4   47.1    4.2    7.5   11.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    75    25   100   19.0   25.1   16.5  123.2   70.6   52.9    9.4   15.2   22.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    51    49     0   100    4.6   17.2   14.9  144.5   76.3   55.5    4.2    7.7   12.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    75    25   100   13.2   18.8   16.3  128.1   71.9   53.9    5.7   10.1   15.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    54    46     0   100    5.0   16.4   14.4  137.3   74.5   53.9    4.9    8.4   13.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    54    46     0   100    4.6   16.7   14.4  130.0   72.7   52.9    4.4    8.2   13.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    77    23   100   12.1   16.2   15.9  119.0   69.3   53.5    5.5    9.5   14.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100    5.2   16.4   13.2  116.8   68.6   52.8    4.8    9.1   15.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    59    41     0   100    4.1   15.4   14.8  131.3   73.2   53.6    4.2    7.7   12.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    51    49     0   100    4.9   16.8   15.3  132.3   73.2   54.7    4.5    8.2   13.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01    62    38     0   100    4.4   13.1   10.1  102.4   63.8   45.2    4.7    8.6   13.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    7.4   20.6   17.1  119.4   69.6   53.9    7.1   12.1   18.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    57    43     0   100    4.2   14.9   10.1  114.7   68.1   49.2    3.9    8.1   13.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    51    49     0   100    6.1   16.4   19.3  120.4   69.6   54.6    5.7    9.7   15.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    51    49     0   100    5.0   14.4   12.8  142.7   76.0   55.0    4.8    7.7   11.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    64    36     0   100    3.9   11.3    9.8  102.0   63.2   44.8    4.4    7.7   12.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    56    44     0   100    4.0   13.0   10.3  119.2   69.5   51.5    3.9    7.2   11.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    55    45     0   100    5.0   18.1   14.3  122.7   70.5   53.3    4.6    9.2   15.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    52    48     0   100    5.4   17.2   14.5  129.9   72.8   54.3    5.1    9.0   14.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100    9.8   14.1   14.3  123.2   70.6   54.0    3.6    7.1   12.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    54    46     0   100    5.3   17.7   13.0  124.0   71.1   51.9    5.0    9.2   15.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    55    45     0   100    4.2   15.4   15.6  134.9   74.1   55.4    4.0    7.4   12.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100    9.3   22.8   16.9  115.4   68.2   53.2    8.9   14.5   21.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    59    41     0   100    4.5   14.4   10.5  118.8   69.3   49.9    4.6    8.2   13.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------