***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 21.03.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 01.04.2013.-07.04.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    39    61   100 9999.0    9.5   16.8  140.6   75.5   62.3 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    31    69   100   10.6   12.3   17.1  143.8   76.3   64.7    2.6    5.2    8.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    38    62   100   11.2   12.4   16.6  132.0   73.2   61.7    2.8    5.6    9.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    31    69   100   12.9   15.0   20.3  147.2   77.1   65.7    4.4    7.3   11.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    32    68   100   11.2   12.7   19.3  140.3   75.5   64.3    3.0    5.6    9.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    37    63   100    9.7    9.6   21.8  120.6   69.7   61.6    3.4    5.7    8.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    29    71   100    9.3   11.3   17.2  148.6   77.5   65.1    2.0    4.2    7.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    34    66   100   16.2   17.9   19.3  135.9   74.3   64.2    4.5    8.4   13.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    37    63   100    9.0    9.9   18.4  132.8   73.5   62.5    2.4    4.6    7.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    35    65   100   10.3   11.0   19.3  131.2   73.0   62.6    3.0    5.5    8.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    31    69   100    9.3   10.1   17.7  136.7   74.5   63.2    2.5    4.7    7.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    36    64   100    9.9   11.4   17.4  138.5   75.0   63.9    2.5    5.0    8.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    32    68   100    9.9   10.5   20.3  132.1   73.3   63.2    3.1    5.4    8.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    38    62   100   10.3   10.5   20.2  123.4   70.6   61.5    3.5    6.0    9.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    35    65   100    8.9   11.4   20.4  154.9   78.6   67.9    2.5    4.6    7.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    37    63   100    9.0    9.9   19.2  133.9   73.8   63.6    3.2    5.4    8.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    28    72   100    9.3   10.6   16.9  145.0   76.6   64.1    2.6    4.7    7.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    80    20   100    5.4    7.9   21.2  125.1   71.1   61.6    2.4    4.3    6.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    36    64   100    9.2   10.3   16.9  136.7   74.4   63.4    2.6    4.9    8.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    37    63   100   10.1   11.1   25.3  133.3   73.5   64.9    3.4    5.8    9.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    39    61   100    9.1    9.9   16.7  129.0   72.4   60.6    2.1    4.5    7.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    32    68   100    9.8   11.0   17.0  139.8   75.3   63.6    2.9    5.2    8.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    78    22   100    5.9    8.6   17.2  126.4   71.6   61.3    2.6    4.6    7.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100    6.8   10.1   19.3  124.7   71.0   60.9    2.9    5.3    8.7   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    33    67   100   11.1   12.3   19.9  138.3   74.9   63.1    3.3    5.9    9.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    36    64   100    9.8   11.4   19.9  140.1   75.4   65.4    2.7    5.1    8.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    35    65   100    9.5   11.1   19.1  142.4   75.9   63.6    2.7    5.0    8.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    35    65   100    8.7   10.5   20.2  147.7   77.0   66.1    2.5    4.6    7.5   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    41    59   100   12.8   13.4   22.4  125.0   71.0   61.9    3.8    7.1   11.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    31    69   100    8.5    9.7   16.9  142.3   76.0   64.3    2.1    4.1    6.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------