***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 14.03.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 18.03.2013.-24.03.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    44    56   100 9999.0   13.6   13.3    1.6   67.7   65.7 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    84    16   100   13.3   14.4   13.0    1.4   65.3   63.6   11.0   12.8   14.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    37    63   100   15.4   15.8   14.0    2.1   71.6   69.4   11.4   13.3   15.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    40    60   100    7.9    8.0   11.5    2.0   68.9   67.5    2.8    5.3    7.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    31    69   100   15.9   16.3   13.0    2.5   73.3   71.7   11.1   13.3   15.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    27    73   100   15.0   15.5   11.0    2.7   74.1   72.7    9.9   12.1   14.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    85    15   100   13.0   14.0   12.6    1.2   64.0   62.3   10.7   12.5   14.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    28    72   100    4.2    4.4   11.3    2.5   72.3   70.9   -0.4    1.6    3.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    29    71   100   15.8   16.2   14.0    2.6   74.0   72.4   11.1   13.2   15.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    27    73   100   15.9   16.3   12.6    2.7   74.2   72.7   10.8   13.0   15.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    23    77   100   16.1   16.4   13.0    2.6   73.9   72.4   11.0   13.2   15.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    28    72   100   15.3   15.4   12.0    2.4   72.1   70.7   10.1   12.4   14.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    25    75   100   16.1   16.3   12.0    2.5   73.0   71.6   11.0   13.2   15.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    29    71   100   15.9   16.4   13.8    2.6   74.6   72.5   11.5   13.5   15.3   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    86    14   100   13.5   14.8   12.5    1.4   64.0   63.0   10.6   12.9   15.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    25    75   100   16.6   16.9   12.6    2.6   73.8   72.3   11.4   13.7   15.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    85    15   100   12.3   13.1   12.3    1.1   62.6   61.0   10.2   11.9   13.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    27    73   100   15.4   15.8   11.8    2.8   74.1   72.6   10.6   12.7   14.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    46    54   100   14.6   14.8   13.4    1.6   68.1   66.1   11.1   12.9   14.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    44    56   100    9.9   10.0    8.6    1.9   67.6   66.5    5.5    7.7    9.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    31    69   100   15.7   16.1   14.3    2.4   72.8   71.0   11.2   13.3   15.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    84    16   100   13.4   14.5   12.9    1.4   66.0   64.2   11.2   12.9   14.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    40    60   100   15.3   15.7   14.0    2.1   71.7   69.5   11.5   13.4   15.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    27    73   100   15.8   16.3   13.6    2.7   75.1   73.2   11.3   13.2   15.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    44    56   100   14.9   15.0   12.2    1.7   67.0   65.4   10.9   12.9   14.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    37    63   100   15.1   15.2   10.7    2.0   69.5   68.3   10.3   12.6   14.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    46    54   100   14.8   14.8   12.6    1.5   66.3   64.5   11.0   12.9   14.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    36    64   100   16.0   16.1   12.4    2.1   69.7   68.3   10.8   13.2   15.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    30    70   100   10.4   10.7   10.7    2.5   72.8   71.3    5.5    7.7    9.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    83    17   100   13.2   14.5   13.2    1.5   66.7   64.8   10.8   12.7   14.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------