***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 22.02.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 12.03.2018.-18.03.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    35    65   100    4.4    5.1   17.9  141.2   75.7   64.2    1.4    2.5    3.9   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    33    67   100    6.2    7.1   15.4  141.3   75.7   64.8    2.0    3.4    5.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    34    66   100   10.4   11.9   17.4  138.2   74.9   62.4    2.7    5.1    8.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    51    49     0   100    3.6    9.8   17.3  118.8   69.0   55.5    3.3    5.8    9.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    75    25   100    5.7    7.9   17.6  122.2   70.1   57.3    2.2    4.2    7.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100    6.0    7.2   16.7  108.4   64.8   55.4    2.7    4.7    7.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    36    64   100    5.0    5.8   15.6  143.6   76.3   65.4    1.8    2.9    4.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100   12.8   14.8   16.9  110.5   65.7   54.4    7.6   10.9   14.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    75    25   100    7.5   10.8   18.6  125.8   71.3   58.8    2.8    5.5    9.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100    9.4   12.5   18.5  117.6   68.4   56.7    4.1    7.3   11.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100    7.9   10.5   15.8  114.0   67.3   54.7    2.9    5.9   10.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100    7.5    9.0   15.0  109.9   65.6   53.5    3.2    5.8    9.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100    6.1    7.4   17.0  111.9   66.3   54.9    2.8    4.8    7.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    36    64   100   12.9   13.6   21.0  129.9   72.6   62.0    3.3    6.5   11.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    75    25   100    5.6    8.1   16.4  121.1   70.0   54.7    1.8    3.9    7.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100    6.0    7.3   15.9  111.3   66.2   54.2    2.8    4.7    7.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    35    65   100    5.1    6.1   15.5  147.4   77.2   65.9    1.8    3.0    4.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100    7.9   10.6   19.6  117.1   68.2   57.5    3.3    6.0    9.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    34    66   100    7.5    8.6   15.8  139.7   75.3   63.9    1.9    3.7    6.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100    6.8    8.3   22.2  113.6   66.8   56.1    3.5    5.6    8.1   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    38    62   100    8.4    9.5   18.4  134.9   74.0   61.5    2.1    4.2    7.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    33    67   100    6.0    7.2   16.3  146.8   77.2   64.9    1.8    3.2    5.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    35    65   100    6.9    7.8   17.1  137.5   74.7   62.5    1.6    3.3    5.8   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    77    23   100    9.2   13.9   19.2  126.6   71.5   60.2    3.4    6.8   11.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    34    66   100    7.7    8.6   20.1  137.4   74.7   63.1    2.2    4.1    6.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    4.9    5.8   15.6  106.8   64.8   54.7    2.3    3.9    6.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    37    63   100    7.6    8.8   18.8  138.3   75.0   64.0    2.2    4.1    6.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    51    49     0   100    2.2    6.6   16.0  113.0   67.2   53.3    1.9    3.7    6.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    78    22   100   13.5   17.3   20.1  114.8   67.3   57.0    6.3   10.7   16.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    33    67   100    5.7    6.5   15.9  141.0   75.7   64.5    1.9    3.3    5.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------