***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 18.02.2021. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 22.02.2021.-21.03.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    34    66   100   12.0   12.9   11.3    2.2   76.5   73.1    8.4   10.1   11.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    29    71   100   11.9   12.4   11.2    2.1   76.0   73.0    8.3    9.9   11.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    32    68   100   12.5   13.1   11.7    2.2   76.0   72.6    8.8   10.5   12.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    33    67   100    5.1    6.0    8.9    2.4   77.5   73.7    1.2    3.0    4.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    28    72   100   12.7   13.4   10.1    2.3   77.2   73.3    8.9   10.6   12.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    29    71   100   11.5   12.1    8.3    2.1   76.3   72.2    8.0    9.6   11.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    30    70   100   11.5   12.1   11.1    2.1   76.1   72.9    7.9    9.5   11.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    25    75   100    2.1    2.8    9.1    2.5   79.1   75.0   -0.9    0.4    1.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    29    71   100   12.7   13.4   10.8    2.3   77.0   73.1    9.1   10.7   12.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    27    73   100   12.8   13.5    9.8    2.4   77.7   73.7    9.1   10.7   12.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    26    74   100   12.9   13.4   10.2    2.2   75.8   72.2    9.1   10.7   12.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    24    76   100   12.1   12.7    9.7    2.3   77.8   74.0    8.5   10.1   11.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    27    73   100   12.8   13.2    9.3    2.1   75.6   72.1    9.3   10.8   12.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    25    75   100   13.2   14.0   11.2    2.6   78.3   74.8    9.3   11.0   12.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    37    63   100   11.8   12.5    9.8    2.1   73.8   70.6    7.9    9.8   11.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    28    72   100   13.2   13.7    9.6    2.2   76.0   72.3    9.6   11.2   12.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    27    73   100   11.2   11.9   11.0    2.2   77.5   74.3    7.7    9.2   10.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    24    76   100   12.6   13.6    9.7    2.8   80.8   76.5    8.8   10.4   11.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    30    70   100   12.0   12.6   11.5    2.2   76.3   73.2    8.2    9.9   11.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    23    77   100    7.9    9.2    7.6    3.0   84.2   79.4    4.4    5.9    7.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    32    68   100   12.6   13.3   11.4    2.2   76.7   72.9    9.0   10.6   12.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    26    74   100   12.2   13.0   11.4    2.3   78.1   75.0    8.3   10.0   11.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    29    71   100   12.6   13.3   11.8    2.3   76.8   73.6    8.9   10.5   12.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    27    73   100   12.7   13.5   11.0    2.5   78.2   74.4    9.2   10.7   12.2   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    35    65   100   11.7   12.6   10.0    2.3   77.4   73.7    8.2    9.9   11.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    23    77   100   12.4   12.9    8.7    2.1   77.9   74.0    9.0   10.4   11.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    33    67   100   12.0   12.8   10.7    2.2   77.3   73.6    8.5   10.1   11.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    34    66   100   12.6   13.4    9.3    2.2   75.4   71.9    8.2   10.2   12.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    23    77   100    8.0    9.2    9.1    3.0   83.1   78.6    4.4    5.9    7.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    29    71   100   11.7   12.3   11.2    2.1   75.7   72.7    8.2    9.8   11.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------