***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 13.02.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 09.03.2020.-15.03.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    60    40     0   100    1.8    3.2    8.9   74.9   51.7   40.5    1.9    3.0    4.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    61    39     0   100    1.6    3.2    7.4   74.5   51.5   39.2    1.6    3.1    5.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00    61    39     0   100    2.6    5.9    9.0   78.7   54.1   41.5    2.7    5.2    8.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    65    35     0   100    3.4    6.4    9.6   72.1   49.9   37.0    3.8    6.4    9.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    61    39     0   100    2.2    4.6   10.2   75.9   51.3   39.2    2.2    4.4    7.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    58    42     0   100    2.4    5.0   11.0   82.1   53.8   42.6    2.4    4.4    7.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    56    44     0   100    2.0    3.4    7.6   77.2   53.2   41.4    2.0    3.2    4.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    57    43     0   100    6.1   11.1   11.7   83.3   54.8   42.1    6.3    9.9   14.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    59    41     0   100    2.8    5.8   11.1   80.3   53.7   40.7    2.8    5.2    8.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    55    45     0   100    3.4    7.4   12.2   83.8   55.0   42.1    3.1    6.2   10.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    59    41     0   100    2.9    6.6   10.2   79.2   53.2   40.6    2.9    5.9   10.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    61    39     0   100    3.0    6.1   10.2   81.5   54.1   41.3    3.2    5.4    8.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    60    40     0   100    2.6    5.5   10.9   81.0   53.3   41.8    2.7    4.9    7.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    52    48     0   100    3.4    7.6   11.9   84.6   55.5   43.2    3.0    6.2   11.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    63    37     0   100    2.0    4.9    9.0   75.3   53.5   37.3    2.1    4.3    7.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    62    38     0   100    2.8    5.6   10.3   79.3   52.8   40.4    3.0    5.2    8.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01    59    41     0   100    1.9    3.2    7.0   73.5   52.2   40.1    2.0    3.1    4.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    56    44     0   100    3.6    7.4   12.9   85.1   55.3   42.5    3.6    6.3    9.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    64    36     0   100    2.1    4.3    7.8   75.8   51.9   39.7    2.2    4.1    6.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    55    45     0   100    2.6    4.8   14.2   80.5   52.4   41.3    2.4    4.5    7.2   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    62    38     0   100    2.1    4.7    9.9   77.6   52.5   39.9    2.2    4.4    7.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    60    40     0   100    1.6    2.9    7.4   73.6   51.2   39.3    1.6    2.8    4.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    62    38     0   100    1.8    4.1    8.7   78.9   53.5   41.5    1.8    3.6    6.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    57    43     0   100    3.3    7.8   11.5   83.9   55.6   42.4    3.2    6.4   11.0   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    62    38     0   100    1.7    3.7   10.0   74.4   50.4   39.5    1.7    3.6    6.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    63    37     0   100    1.8    3.7   10.1   77.2   52.3   40.3    2.0    3.4    5.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    59    41     0   100    2.5    4.8    9.4   74.9   51.2   40.4    2.6    4.6    7.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    63    37     0   100    2.7    5.6    9.6   75.1   52.0   37.7    3.0    5.3    8.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    54    46     0   100    4.7    9.8   13.4   84.9   54.8   43.0    4.3    8.4   13.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    62    38     0   100    1.7    3.3    7.9   75.3   52.2   40.1    1.8    3.1    4.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------