***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 08.02.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 26.02.2018.-04.03.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    55    45     0   100    3.3   11.0   12.7  111.7   67.1   52.4    3.1    6.2   10.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    57    43     0   100    4.2   11.9   10.5  105.3   64.9   51.0    4.2    7.6   12.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    77    23   100    9.9   12.8   12.5  110.4   66.7   52.8    3.6    7.2   12.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    57    43     0   100    3.8   17.2   15.9  130.5   72.9   54.5    3.5    7.5   13.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    51    49     0   100    4.9   15.1   15.8  127.3   71.9   55.3    4.6    8.1   12.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    51    49     0   100    4.0   10.8   14.7  114.5   67.9   55.9    3.8    6.5   10.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    54    46     0   100    3.9   11.0   10.2  106.2   65.3   51.2    3.7    6.9   11.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    52    48     0   100    6.6   19.3   15.7  119.6   69.4   54.3    6.1   11.0   17.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    75    25   100    9.2   12.6   16.2  123.4   70.7   55.2    4.0    7.1   11.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    75    25   100   10.5   13.9   16.3  119.2   69.3   54.6    4.7    8.1   12.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    3.4   10.0   14.5  121.9   70.3   54.3    3.2    5.7    8.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100    9.6   12.6   13.7  116.6   68.6   54.7    4.2    7.4   11.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100    8.6   10.9   14.9  114.3   67.9   55.8    4.1    6.8   10.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    76    24   100   13.2   15.2   15.3  102.5   63.7   51.9    4.9    9.7   16.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    53    47     0   100    4.5   20.2   16.0  137.4   74.7   54.3    3.9    8.2   14.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    53    47     0   100    3.8   11.9   14.3  118.9   69.4   55.6    3.5    6.5   10.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    76    24   100    9.5   11.8   10.3  110.8   67.0   52.9    4.3    7.4   11.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    4.7   11.6   16.5  112.4   67.0   54.1    4.5    7.5   11.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    53    47     0   100    4.9   12.7   11.0  105.9   65.1   51.2    4.7    8.2   13.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    56    44     0   100    4.2   12.1   19.8  114.1   67.5   53.2    4.1    7.3   11.6   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    76    24   100   10.2   14.3   14.7  120.2   69.8   54.2    4.0    7.6   12.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   10.3   13.5   11.6  117.6   69.0   54.2    5.0    8.2   12.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100    8.4    9.9   11.9  104.4   64.7   50.9    3.6    6.4   10.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    75    25   100   10.6   12.8   15.0  110.4   66.5   54.0    5.0    8.3   12.6   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11    55    45     0   100    3.6   14.3   15.3  119.6   69.7   52.9    3.2    6.9   12.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    75    25   100    9.5   12.4   14.3  113.8   67.9   54.6    3.7    7.0   11.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    56    44     0   100    3.2   11.6   13.9  115.0   68.2   52.4    3.0    6.1   10.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    55    45     0   100    3.6   14.2   15.3  130.9   72.9   55.2    3.2    6.6   11.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    52    48     0   100    6.4   15.9   17.0  107.9   65.3   53.5    6.0   10.4   16.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    54    46     0   100    3.8   11.8   10.9  104.3   64.7   51.2    3.4    7.1   12.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------