***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 07.02.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.02.2013.-10.03.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    77    23   100 9999.0    6.7    7.5    0.2   53.0   52.8 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    78    22   100    8.1    7.5    7.2    0.2   51.8   52.0    5.6    7.4    9.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    77    23   100    8.9    8.3    7.7    0.1   51.2   51.3    6.3    8.1    9.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    80    20   100    1.9    1.3    5.6    0.0   50.5   50.6   -0.5    1.3    2.9   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100    9.0    8.4    6.4    0.1   51.7   51.6    6.4    8.3    9.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    51    49     0   100    5.7    7.7    5.0    0.2   52.3   52.3    5.9    7.5    9.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100    7.7    7.3    7.1    0.2   52.7   52.7    5.2    7.0    8.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    55    45     0   100   -2.4   -1.2    5.0   -0.3   45.4   46.7   -2.1   -0.9    0.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100    9.2    8.6    7.1    0.1   51.1   51.2    6.7    8.5   10.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100    6.4    8.2    5.9   -0.2   47.6   48.4    6.7    8.5   10.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100    9.3    8.8    6.3    0.1   51.9   51.9    6.8    8.6   10.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    53    47     0   100    6.1    7.9    5.9   -0.1   48.6   49.3    6.4    8.0    9.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    51    49     0   100    6.8    8.8    5.7    0.1   51.6   51.7    7.0    8.6   10.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    77    23   100    9.4    8.1    6.8   -0.4   45.5   46.8    6.7    8.6   10.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    82    18   100    8.1    7.6    6.1    0.1   51.4   51.3    5.5    7.5    9.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100    9.7    9.3    6.0    0.2   52.9   52.8    7.3    9.0   10.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    79    21   100    7.5    6.9    6.8    0.0   50.1   50.5    5.1    6.9    8.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    53    47     0   100    6.0    7.5    5.2   -0.4   44.4   45.9    6.3    8.1    9.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    78    22   100    8.1    7.5    7.4    0.1   51.1   51.4    5.5    7.4    9.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    56    44     0   100    2.2    3.1    2.9   -0.7   39.1   41.5    2.6    4.0    5.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100    9.1    8.5    7.5    0.1   51.4   51.4    6.6    8.3   10.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100    8.2    7.3    7.0   -0.1   48.3   48.9    5.6    7.5    9.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    77    23   100    8.7    7.9    7.6    0.0   49.7   50.2    6.0    7.9    9.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    76    24   100    9.2    8.2    6.7   -0.2   46.8   47.9    6.8    8.5   10.1   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    76    24   100    8.2    7.6    6.1    0.1   51.8   51.6    5.7    7.5    9.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    54    46     0   100    6.5    8.3    5.2    0.0   49.7   50.3    6.8    8.3    9.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    76    24   100    8.5    8.1    6.8    0.2   53.0   52.6    6.1    7.8    9.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    80    20   100    8.8    8.3    6.1    0.2   52.0   51.8    5.9    8.0   10.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    55    45     0   100    2.1    3.5    4.3   -0.5   42.9   44.8    2.5    4.1    5.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100    8.0    7.5    7.4    0.2   52.5   52.5    5.5    7.3    8.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------