***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 05.02.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 02.03.2015.-08.03.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    82    18   100   10.1   10.7   10.0    0.9   59.6   57.3    6.9    9.4   11.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100   10.0   10.7   10.2    1.1   61.9   59.3    7.0    9.2   11.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    82    18   100   10.7   11.1   10.2    0.8   58.4   56.6    7.6    9.9   12.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100    3.6    3.5    7.7    0.6   55.8   54.4    0.3    2.7    5.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   11.0   10.9    8.2    0.5   55.5   54.2    7.7   10.1   12.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100   10.4   10.2    6.5    0.5   55.7   53.6    7.2    9.5   11.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100    9.7   10.5   10.1    1.1   62.7   59.8    6.8    8.9   11.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    78    22   100    0.9    0.7    7.0    0.4   54.7   53.3   -1.9    0.1    2.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    81    19   100   11.1   11.1    8.9    0.6   55.6   54.3    7.9   10.3   12.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   11.3   11.1    7.9    0.5   55.2   53.9    8.1   10.4   12.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100   11.4   11.2    7.9    0.5   55.1   53.7    8.1   10.5   12.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100   10.8   10.4    7.6    0.4   54.1   52.9    7.7    9.9   12.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    78    22   100   11.6   11.4    7.2    0.4   54.9   53.2    8.5   10.7   12.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   11.3   11.5    9.4    0.8   57.6   56.0    8.0   10.4   12.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    78    22   100   10.2   10.0    7.8    0.5   55.6   54.4    6.7    9.2   11.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100   11.9   11.6    7.5    0.4   54.7   53.3    8.6   11.0   13.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    79    21   100    9.5   10.3   10.1    1.2   63.0   60.0    6.5    8.7   10.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100   11.0   10.8    7.5    0.6   55.9   54.4    7.7   10.0   12.2   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100   10.0   10.7   10.4    1.0   60.8   58.5    6.9    9.2   11.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100    6.4    6.2    5.1    0.5   55.3   53.5    3.5    5.6    7.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    81    19   100   10.9   11.0    9.5    0.6   56.6   55.1    7.8   10.1   12.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100   10.0   10.8   10.3    1.1   62.0   59.3    6.9    9.2   11.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    81    19   100   10.8   11.3   10.4    0.9   59.3   57.4    7.7   10.0   12.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    80    20   100   11.4   11.5    9.1    0.7   56.7   55.3    8.1   10.5   12.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    80    20   100   10.1   10.4    8.3    0.8   58.6   56.2    7.0    9.3   11.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    80    20   100   11.0   10.8    6.7    0.3   53.9   52.4    8.2   10.3   12.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    81    19   100   10.4   11.0    9.2    0.9   60.2   57.5    7.4    9.7   11.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    77    23   100   10.9   10.5    7.8    0.5   54.7   53.7    7.2    9.8   12.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100    6.6    6.6    6.6    0.6   56.7   54.8    3.5    5.7    7.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    81    19   100    9.9   10.6   10.3    1.0   61.1   58.7    7.0    9.2   11.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------