***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 28.01.2021. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 01.02.2021.-28.02.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    80    20   100    7.2    7.8    7.1    1.0   61.9   59.4    4.9    6.6    8.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100    6.6    6.6    6.8    0.5   55.7   55.1    4.3    6.0    7.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    80    20   100    7.5    8.1    7.6    1.1   62.2   59.6    5.2    6.9    8.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    40    60   100    2.0    1.9    4.8    1.5   66.4   62.6   -1.0    0.5    1.9   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    37    63   100    8.6    8.4    6.3    1.4   66.8   62.7    5.3    6.8    8.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    32    68   100    7.7    8.0    5.6    1.9   73.8   67.6    4.7    6.0    7.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100    6.2    6.1    6.6    0.4   54.8   54.5    3.8    5.6    7.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    33    67   100   -0.1    0.0    5.8    1.6   70.5   65.7   -2.5   -1.4   -0.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100    7.9    8.8    7.1    1.4   66.3   62.2    5.7    7.3    8.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    38    62   100    8.8    8.8    6.3    1.5   68.2   63.8    5.6    7.1    8.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    33    67   100    9.0    9.0    6.9    1.7   69.7   65.0    5.6    7.2    8.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    31    69   100    8.5    8.7    6.6    1.8   72.0   66.8    5.4    6.8    8.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    28    72   100    8.9    9.2    6.7    2.0   74.7   68.8    5.6    7.1    8.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100    8.2    8.9    7.3    1.2   63.9   60.5    5.8    7.5    9.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    78    22   100    6.8    7.5    5.5    1.2   63.3   60.6    4.5    6.2    7.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    30    70   100    9.3    9.4    6.4    1.7   71.3   66.2    6.0    7.5    8.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    79    21   100    6.2    5.8    6.4    0.1   51.6   52.2    4.0    5.6    7.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    36    64   100    8.2    8.3    6.2    1.6   69.7   65.0    5.1    6.6    7.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    80    20   100    6.7    6.9    7.1    0.6   57.5   56.4    4.3    6.1    7.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    32    68   100    4.5    4.6    4.2    1.5   70.4   65.8    1.7    3.0    4.2   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100    7.7    8.4    7.5    1.2   64.3   60.8    5.5    7.1    8.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100    6.9    6.6    6.7    0.2   53.1   53.1    4.5    6.3    7.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    80    20   100    7.1    7.5    7.5    0.8   59.8   57.8    4.7    6.5    8.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100    8.0    8.9    7.3    1.4   66.2   62.3    5.8    7.4    8.9   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100    6.6    7.3    6.1    1.2   64.4   61.0    4.5    6.0    7.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    30    70   100    8.3    8.8    6.1    1.9   76.4   70.4    5.4    6.7    7.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    79    21   100    7.0    7.5    6.7    0.9   61.8   59.2    4.8    6.4    7.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    38    62   100    8.9    8.6    5.3    1.4   65.7   62.1    5.1    6.9    8.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    31    69   100    4.9    5.0    5.7    1.7   71.9   66.7    1.8    3.2    4.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    80    20   100    6.5    6.7    6.9    0.7   58.0   56.7    4.2    5.9    7.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------