***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 18.01.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 05.02.2018.-11.02.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    52    48     0   100    2.6    5.6    8.4   86.6   58.1   44.7    2.4    4.4    7.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    53    47     0   100    2.9    6.2    7.1   80.7   55.7   43.9    2.6    5.1    8.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00    52    48     0   100    3.3    8.6    9.0   95.5   61.2   46.9    3.0    5.9   10.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100    9.8   10.0    9.7   88.7   59.3   48.4    4.0    7.5   12.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    76    24   100   10.4   10.8   10.3   91.9   60.1   49.3    4.7    8.1   12.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100    7.7    6.4    8.4   73.3   51.3   44.0    3.6    6.1    9.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    54    46     0   100    2.7    5.7    7.1   81.8   56.2   44.5    2.6    4.8    7.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100   13.4   12.8   10.5   87.7   57.8   46.8    5.5   10.2   16.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    52    48     0   100    3.5    8.6   11.5   97.8   62.0   50.7    3.2    5.9    9.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    75    25   100   10.6   10.8   11.4   93.1   59.8   48.4    4.5    8.1   12.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    77    23   100    8.8    8.5    9.5   86.4   57.6   48.2    3.5    6.6   11.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100    7.3    6.7    9.1   83.9   56.2   46.7    3.1    5.6    9.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    54    46     0   100    4.1    7.6    9.2   77.8   53.3   44.8    3.9    6.9   10.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100    4.6   11.7   12.4   99.1   62.0   47.9    4.3    8.0   13.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    51    49     0   100    3.8    9.3    9.1   86.3   59.5   47.3    3.4    6.7   11.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100    7.7    6.8    8.8   79.9   54.6   45.9    3.4    5.9    9.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    75    25   100    7.8    6.8    6.8   76.7   54.4   42.8    3.3    5.9    9.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100    4.0    9.1   13.0  100.3   62.4   48.5    3.8    6.5   10.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    53    47     0   100    3.5    7.8    7.6   85.3   57.3   44.8    3.2    6.1   10.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    54    46     0   100    3.6    8.6   15.1   95.3   60.5   45.3    3.4    6.2   10.2   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    54    46     0   100    3.9   10.3   10.5   98.7   62.8   49.3    3.7    6.8   11.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    53    47     0   100    3.5    6.7    7.1   75.8   53.9   42.0    3.3    6.0    9.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    53    47     0   100    3.1    8.1    8.9   94.1   60.6   47.0    2.8    5.6    9.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    51    49     0   100    4.9   12.1   11.8  101.3   63.0   48.9    4.5    8.2   13.2   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11    52    48     0   100    3.9    9.2   10.3   93.6   60.9   47.8    3.6    6.7   10.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    56    44     0   100    2.4    4.8    8.7   76.4   53.0   43.1    2.2    4.4    7.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    54    46     0   100    3.8    8.8    9.0   87.6   58.5   45.6    3.6    6.7   11.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100    7.5    7.1    8.8   82.9   57.2   46.8    2.8    5.5    9.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100    6.1   14.6   14.3  101.9   62.8   48.0    5.6   10.0   16.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    54    46     0   100    2.9    6.5    7.5   84.4   57.1   44.8    2.7    5.2    8.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------