***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 15.01.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 19.01.2015.-15.02.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    78    22   100   28.9   34.1   43.3  113.5   66.5   59.3   17.6   25.0   33.8   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100   28.9   34.0   40.5  114.1   66.8   58.3   16.8   24.5   33.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100   39.6   45.2   43.5  111.2   64.9   58.5   24.0   34.2   46.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    36    64   100   58.5   61.1   53.4  122.5   72.2   63.4   29.5   41.0   54.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100   44.2   52.3   50.0  114.7   67.6   60.1   27.7   38.4   51.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    81    19   100   36.1   47.9   51.5  120.2   71.2   61.6   21.8   31.6   43.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    52    48     0   100   17.0   31.5   39.8  114.2   66.9   58.6   17.1   23.7   31.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    79    21   100   60.8   66.2   52.5  108.5   62.9   56.5   41.1   54.5   69.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    78    22   100   36.0   40.4   48.7  110.2   64.5   58.1   22.9   31.6   41.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    78    22   100   43.8   47.1   51.3  107.1   62.0   56.3   28.8   38.8   50.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    78    22   100   37.9   43.8   47.6  111.8   65.5   58.1   23.2   32.8   44.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    81    19   100   34.9   42.2   47.7  111.4   65.1   57.4   18.2   29.4   43.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    83    17   100   39.2   50.8   50.4  118.4   69.9   61.3   24.4   34.9   47.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   51.3   52.7   50.3  103.5   59.0   54.3   34.9   46.0   58.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    33    67   100   52.9   61.8   56.6  133.9   76.5   67.1   17.2   29.7   46.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    81    19   100   33.1   41.5   48.3  115.8   68.2   59.8   19.7   28.9   39.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01    52    48     0   100   16.7   31.7   38.9  113.3   66.3   57.2   16.7   23.6   31.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    79    21   100   39.3   40.0   54.1  103.2   58.5   54.6   26.1   35.0   45.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   33.4   38.0   41.5  112.4   65.7   58.0   20.7   28.8   38.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    80    20   100   39.2   43.8   68.0  109.5   63.1   58.2   24.2   34.4   46.3   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    79    21   100   37.6   43.5   46.3  112.2   65.8   59.4   24.2   33.1   43.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    75    25   100   30.2   33.7   40.5  111.0   64.7   56.6   17.8   25.6   34.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    79    21   100   31.2   34.9   43.7  109.2   63.5   57.2   19.0   27.2   36.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    78    22   100   47.2   48.3   49.0  103.9   59.1   54.9   32.4   42.3   53.4   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    37    63   100   52.3   51.4   50.8  116.7   68.9   61.2   24.5   35.5   48.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    81    19   100   31.7   44.3   51.8  123.6   72.8   63.0   18.5   27.4   38.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    76    24   100   35.5   41.7   47.0  113.7   66.8   59.4   20.9   30.1   41.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    39    61   100   45.2   48.6   53.1  124.1   72.4   63.2   16.2   27.1   41.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   62.6   61.8   57.2  101.4   57.0   53.0   42.5   55.8   70.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    75    25   100   29.7   34.5   41.3  114.0   66.8   58.8   17.5   25.2   34.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------