***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 14.01.2021. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 01.02.2021.-07.02.2021.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    23    77   100    0.1    0.7    0.3    2.6   76.2   70.1   -4.8   -2.7   -0.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    26    74   100   -0.6   -0.3    0.0    2.2   74.0   68.6   -5.2   -3.2   -1.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    26    74   100    1.7    2.3    0.3    2.4   76.0   70.4   -2.4   -0.6    1.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    23    77   100   -3.8   -3.8   -2.7    2.3   72.0   68.1   -8.2   -6.3   -4.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    26    74   100   -1.4   -1.2   -2.0    2.6   73.7   69.0   -5.1   -3.5   -2.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    20    80   100   -2.2   -1.9   -3.9    3.1   76.4   71.3   -6.1   -4.5   -3.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    26    74   100   -0.5   -0.2    0.1    2.2   73.6   68.3   -5.0   -3.0   -1.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    26    74   100   -6.1   -5.7   -3.5    2.9   74.9   69.6  -10.0   -8.3   -6.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    24    76   100   -0.1    0.2   -1.5    2.6   74.8   69.7   -3.9   -2.3   -0.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    24    76   100   -0.9   -0.6   -2.9    2.8   75.3   69.9   -4.3   -2.8   -1.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    26    74   100   -1.4   -1.1   -2.6    2.8   74.4   69.6   -4.8   -3.3   -1.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    25    75   100   -2.4   -2.1   -3.0    3.0   74.7   69.9   -5.6   -4.2   -2.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    23    77   100   -1.5   -1.2   -3.4    3.0   75.4   70.6   -5.3   -3.7   -2.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    28    72   100    0.1    0.8   -1.4    2.8   77.8   71.4   -3.4   -1.9   -0.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    21    79   100   -0.5   -0.8   -1.9    2.1   70.7   68.0   -4.3   -2.7   -1.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    23    77   100   -0.6   -0.3   -3.1    2.9   74.5   69.8   -4.0   -2.5   -1.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    31    69   100   -0.9   -0.9   -0.1    2.0   70.9   66.5   -4.9   -3.1   -1.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    25    75   100   -3.2   -2.8   -3.4    2.9   76.2   70.1   -6.4   -5.0   -3.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    24    76   100   -0.4    0.0    0.0    2.3   75.0   69.4   -4.9   -3.0   -1.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    24    76   100   -5.9   -5.6   -4.7    2.8   74.8   69.1  -10.5   -8.5   -6.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    26    74   100   -0.6   -0.2   -0.4    2.5   75.0   69.6   -4.3   -2.7   -1.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    31    69   100   -0.8   -0.5   -0.2    2.1   72.7   67.4   -5.1   -3.2   -1.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    22    78   100   -0.8   -0.4    0.0    2.4   76.3   70.6   -4.5   -2.9   -1.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    27    73   100   -1.0   -0.5   -1.8    2.7   76.6   70.8   -4.5   -3.0   -1.6   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    26    74   100   -1.0   -0.7   -1.2    2.5   74.1   69.1   -4.8   -3.2   -1.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    23    77   100   -1.4   -1.1   -3.4    3.0   75.2   70.7   -5.2   -3.6   -2.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    24    76   100    0.0    0.5   -0.1    2.6   75.3   69.6   -5.0   -2.8   -0.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    23    77   100   -2.0   -2.0   -2.5    2.4   72.1   68.5   -5.6   -4.0   -2.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    25    75   100   -2.8   -2.3   -3.7    2.9   76.0   69.6   -6.9   -5.1   -3.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    25    75   100   -0.1    0.4    0.1    2.4   75.2   69.5   -4.8   -2.8   -0.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------