***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 14.01.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 18.01.2016.-14.02.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    54    46     0   100    2.8    3.5    3.1   -0.8   36.6   41.4    3.2    4.7    6.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100    5.1    4.2    3.7   -0.2   47.0   49.2    2.9    4.5    5.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00    54    46     0   100    3.6    4.6    3.5   -0.6   40.4   43.8    3.9    5.5    7.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    53    47     0   100   -1.8   -1.2    0.8   -0.8   37.3   40.8   -1.5   -0.1    1.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    56    44     0   100    3.5    4.0    1.4   -1.1   33.5   37.6    3.9    5.4    6.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    64    36     0   100    2.9    2.8   -0.2   -1.7   25.4   31.0    3.5    4.8    6.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100    4.8    3.5    3.4   -0.4   43.9   47.2    2.5    4.1    5.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    64    36     0   100   -2.8   -2.6    0.7   -1.4   28.5   33.3   -2.3   -1.2   -0.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    55    45     0   100    4.1    4.7    2.4   -0.9   35.4   39.1    4.5    6.0    7.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    61    39     0   100    3.6    4.0    1.5   -1.2   31.6   35.9    4.1    5.6    7.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    63    37     0   100    3.5    3.8    1.2   -1.3   29.3   34.1    4.2    5.7    7.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    66    34     0   100    3.5    3.6    0.9   -1.5   26.5   31.8    4.2    5.7    7.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    71    29     0   100    3.3    3.1    0.4   -1.8   22.6   28.5    4.1    5.6    6.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    78    22   100    6.8    5.5    3.2   -0.4   43.3   45.1    4.5    6.1    7.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    76    24   100    5.4    4.0    1.5   -0.6   41.4   43.9    3.3    4.8    6.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    64    36     0   100    3.8    3.9    0.6   -1.5   26.7   31.8    4.5    6.0    7.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    79    21   100    4.7    4.2    3.8    0.1   51.0   52.1    2.7    4.1    5.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    63    37     0   100    2.7    3.2    1.3   -1.1   32.3   36.5    3.3    4.6    5.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100    5.3    4.4    3.9   -0.1   47.6   49.5    3.0    4.7    6.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    65    35     0   100    0.4    0.5   -0.6   -1.5   27.0   32.1    1.0    2.3    3.5   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    56    44     0   100    3.8    4.6    2.9   -0.8   36.9   40.5    4.2    5.7    7.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100    5.4    5.2    4.1    0.3   54.3   54.3    3.2    4.8    6.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    78    22   100    5.4    4.6    4.0   -0.2   47.1   48.7    3.3    4.8    6.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    57    43     0   100    4.0    5.0    2.8   -0.8   38.0   41.2    4.5    6.1    7.5   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11    54    46     0   100    2.8    3.3    1.6   -0.9   34.6   39.1    3.1    4.5    5.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    69    31     0   100    3.4    3.2    0.0   -1.8   21.5   27.8    4.1    5.3    6.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    54    46     0   100    3.1    3.6    2.3   -0.9   34.3   39.5    3.5    5.0    6.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    52    48     0   100    3.7    4.5    1.2   -0.8   38.0   41.1    4.0    5.6    7.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    61    39     0   100    0.6    0.9    0.6   -1.2   31.0   35.4    1.1    2.4    3.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    75    25   100    5.0    3.8    3.6   -0.4   43.4   46.6    2.8    4.4    5.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------