***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 03.01.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 07.01.2019.-13.01.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    35    65   100    6.1    6.6   13.0  131.3   73.3   66.8    1.9    3.4    5.3   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    44    56   100    6.9    7.1   10.6  116.9   69.6   62.5    1.8    3.6    6.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    33    67   100    7.8    8.5   13.2  134.8   74.1   66.7    2.2    4.1    6.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    20    80   100    7.8    9.5   17.2  166.1   80.5   74.2    2.1    3.8    6.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    24    76   100    9.8   11.9   17.8  161.6   79.6   73.9    2.7    4.9    7.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    19    81   100   10.4   14.8   18.1  192.4   84.2   77.5    2.3    4.6    7.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    45    55   100    6.6    6.9   10.4  117.4   69.7   63.0    1.7    3.5    6.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    21    79   100   11.4   14.8   19.1  175.6   81.9   75.0    3.0    5.5    9.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    24    76   100    7.6    9.0   16.2  154.9   78.4   72.4    2.0    3.8    6.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    21    79   100   10.5   13.1   18.3  164.2   80.2   74.1    2.2    4.6    8.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    24    76   100    8.9   11.7   17.5  167.8   80.7   74.4    1.8    3.9    6.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    25    75   100    9.4   13.0   17.7  178.5   82.3   74.8    2.2    4.4    7.4   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    24    76   100    9.9   13.9   19.3  179.3   82.4   75.5    2.1    4.3    7.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    30    70   100   10.8   12.5   17.5  145.6   76.6   69.7    2.9    5.5    9.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    28    72   100    7.8   10.2   13.6  166.8   80.5   70.1    2.0    3.8    6.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    20    80   100    8.9   12.1   18.2  179.7   82.5   76.3    1.9    3.9    6.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    84    16   100    4.6    6.8    9.8  110.8   67.6   60.2    1.8    3.6    6.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    20    80   100    9.1   11.2   19.2  166.7   80.6   74.6    2.5    4.5    7.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    43    57   100    7.1    7.5   11.3  120.1   70.5   63.2    2.4    4.2    6.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    16    84   100   12.7   16.8   23.1  178.8   82.5   76.2    2.3    4.9    9.0   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    29    71   100    8.7   10.1   15.3  147.1   76.9   69.9    2.1    4.2    7.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    82    18   100    5.4    7.6   11.0  114.2   68.7   60.6    2.4    4.3    7.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    42    58   100    6.6    7.4   12.9  128.8   72.7   65.3    1.9    3.6    6.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    26    74   100    8.8   10.4   17.2  155.6   78.6   71.6    2.9    4.8    7.4   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    25    75   100    8.5    9.7   16.7  147.7   77.0   71.0    2.1    4.1    6.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    20    80   100    8.4   11.6   18.6  185.7   83.4   76.6    1.9    3.8    6.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    33    67   100    7.0    7.8   14.3  137.3   74.7   68.6    1.8    3.5    5.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    25    75   100    7.0    9.2   15.5  171.4   81.3   73.5    1.9    3.4    5.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    19    81   100   14.2   17.8   20.5  170.6   81.3   75.5    3.7    6.8   11.0   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    38    62   100    6.8    7.0   11.2  122.2   71.0   64.0    1.8    3.4    5.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------