***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 02.01.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 27.01.2020.-02.02.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    57    43     0   100    2.3    6.6   10.4   97.5   62.1   43.9    2.2    4.4    7.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    66    34     0   100    1.8    5.4    8.8   95.7   61.3   40.8    2.0    3.8    6.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00    57    43     0   100    3.4    9.7   10.7  100.9   63.0   43.2    3.2    6.3   10.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    59    41     0   100    4.6   10.9   11.4   90.3   59.0   41.9    4.8    8.4   13.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    61    39     0   100    4.2   11.2   11.8   95.1   60.5   43.6    4.4    8.1   13.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    52    48     0   100    4.7   10.5   10.5   92.3   60.3   45.7    4.4    7.8   12.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    57    43     0   100    2.0    5.4    8.2   92.3   60.3   41.4    1.9    3.8    6.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    57    43     0   100    7.0   15.5   11.9   91.8   58.9   43.3    7.0   12.1   18.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    59    41     0   100    2.9    8.5   12.8   99.0   61.7   44.8    2.8    5.7    9.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    56    44     0   100    4.1   10.6   13.0   97.6   61.1   44.6    3.9    7.5   12.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    59    41     0   100    3.7    9.3   11.2   93.7   59.9   44.0    3.8    6.9   11.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    56    44     0   100    3.2    7.9   10.5   90.7   58.9   43.6    2.9    5.9   10.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    53    47     0   100    3.9   10.1   10.9   92.6   59.9   45.9    3.5    7.1   12.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    57    43     0   100    3.9   12.1   13.8  107.5   64.8   45.9    3.8    7.4   12.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    61    39     0   100    2.7    7.9   10.7   87.2   59.0   40.9    2.6    5.8   10.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    55    45     0   100    3.8    9.1   10.8   92.2   59.6   44.9    3.5    6.7   11.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01    59    41     0   100    1.9    4.6    7.7   85.9   58.1   40.6    1.8    3.6    6.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16    56    44     0   100    4.5   10.7   14.0  101.8   62.6   46.0    4.5    7.6   11.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    64    36     0   100    2.2    6.4    9.4   99.3   62.5   41.3    2.4    4.4    7.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    55    45     0   100    4.2    9.0   15.3   92.2   59.0   44.4    4.2    7.1   10.9   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    56    44     0   100    3.2    8.9   11.9   99.7   62.3   45.0    3.1    6.0   10.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    64    36     0   100    1.9    5.1    8.3   88.5   58.6   40.1    2.1    3.8    6.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    58    42     0   100    2.1    6.6   10.5  103.5   63.8   42.5    2.0    4.1    7.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    56    44     0   100    4.6   12.0   13.3  106.4   64.4   45.6    4.5    7.9   12.5   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11    58    42     0   100    3.3    9.7   11.9   97.4   61.8   45.5    3.2    6.5   11.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    53    47     0   100    4.4    9.4    9.7   86.9   58.5   44.5    4.1    7.4   11.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    60    40     0   100    2.6    7.5   11.0   98.4   62.5   45.5    2.7    5.0    8.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    59    41     0   100    3.1    8.0   10.6   87.4   58.5   41.5    3.1    6.1   10.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    53    47     0   100    7.2   15.6   14.6  100.3   61.9   45.8    7.1   11.6   17.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    63    37     0   100    2.1    6.0    9.3   97.7   62.1   41.3    2.2    4.2    6.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------